TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$482,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed 76ers2c38,709$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.3823237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers0c37,697$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers1c27,120$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers13c21,488$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.6872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers12c13,252$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.9396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers14c12,174$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed 76ers4c12,015$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers15c10,100$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 76ers7c10,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked 76ers2c8,736$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5529450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed 76ers3c8,611$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers17c8,343$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked 76ers1c7,715$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.64573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers5c7,311$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0226235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed 76ers8c6,449$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50965218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers2c6,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers5c5,888$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.781,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed 76ers1c4,018$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2325939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed 76ers10c3,905$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.471838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed 76ers17c3,110$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.699250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5199…d64dbacked 76ers18c3,010$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers2c3,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked 76ers17c2,566$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8614129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers23c2,563$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.661,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers1c2,299$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked 76ers4c1,803$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0313611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…7829backed 76ers15c1,730$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked 76ers16c1,663$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.734632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed 76ers17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked 76ers14c1,344$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…4c02backed 76ers14c1,331$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.291030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa601…32f4backed 76ers17c1,300$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked 76ers13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…b8adbacked 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed 76ers18c1,000$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7722721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e41…e00cbacked 76ers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed 76ers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed 76ers2c996.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa784…c046backed 76ers6c899.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542532%8 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed 76ers2c886.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.673619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d50…beecbacked 76ers7c850.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d5…5b5ebacked 76ers13c822.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed 76ers15c819.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed 76ers15c790$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers2c759.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.855502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed 76ers4c705$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers13c650$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers6c641.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed 76ers5c640.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers2c625$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.67502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked 76ers19c610.54$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked 76ers17c599.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb987…945ebacked 76ers17c597.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Thunder77c562.72$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7811337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd826…5eb7backed 76ers16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed 76ers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1158937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked 76ers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508765.5%57 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed 76ers4c485.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers8c451.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed 76ers7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305050%25 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers12c425.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2836423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked 76ers10c420$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…d402backed 76ers13c404.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462a…8b5cbacked 76ers9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615639.7%62 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed 76ers10c400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6711249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed 76ers18c380$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers11c344$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers11c344$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5446…ada8backed 76ers19c339.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b5…dbefbacked 76ers19c321.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 76ers23c319.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed 76ers17c317.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.054443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x159b…10cbbacked 76ers16c290$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed 76ers17c285.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers12c284.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…1628backed Thunder76c261.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.751428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers13c250.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers16c242.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8826933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…13adbacked 76ers9c239.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb220…51bdbacked 76ers7c237.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a2…7352backed 76ers10c235.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.683638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8743…9e20backed 76ers9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked 76ers10c210$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed 76ers10c209.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 76ers11c207$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed 76ers5c204.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…c3b4backed 76ers18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed 76ers6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked 76ers17c198.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4313638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ed…00f0backed 76ers16c187.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307839.7%31 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked 76ers18c186.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba2b…d6dbbacked 76ers18c183.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad9…35a0backed 76ers18c174.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked 76ers11c173$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked 76ers8c172.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.836553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x416c…14f4backed 76ers18c170.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ef…acc0backed 76ers12c169.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.