NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecfd547948f3eee7139e233ccefccad42d74b26ee3ef4343cd3ac9f056361fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Heat | 32c | 86,451$27,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,820.75 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 77c | 35,087$27,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.3 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 63c | 30,671$19,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,319.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Hawks | 54c | 18,708$10,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Heat | 52c | 10,808$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.88 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 59c | 10,755$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.46 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 10,300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Heat | 42c | 9,438$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.76 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…fcf9backed Hawks | 58c | 9,016$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Hawks | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 80c | 8,796$7,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.13 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 46c | 8,019$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Heat | 45c | 7,827$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.47 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Hawks | 48c | 6,219$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Heat | 60c | 5,515$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Heat | 47c | 5,449$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.24 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Hawks | 50c | 5,075$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Heat | 45c | 5,028$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Hawks | 56c | 4,970$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.64 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 60c | 4,842$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.2 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hawks | 56c | 4,806$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.87 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…704dbacked Heat | 51c | 3,852$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Heat | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,674$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Hawks | 55c | 2,389$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Heat | 36c | 2,205$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.49 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Heat | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 68c | 2,110$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Hawks | 80c | 1,997$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.48 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Hawks | 55c | 1,805$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.45 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 31c | 1,733$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.36 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 63c | 1,513$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.38 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Heat | 41c | 1,400$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Hawks | 60c | 1,384$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,192$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Heat | 50c | 1,175$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Heat | 45c | 1,125$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Heat | 49c | 1,067$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 60c | 1,039$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hawks | 62c | 1,025$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.65 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hawks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Hawks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 43c | 974.78$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d70…6ca7backed Heat | 46c | 967.45$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Heat | 51c | 952.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…9912backed Heat | 43c | 875.57$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hawks | 59c | 863.34$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 56c | 847.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 840$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 46c | 822.32$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.81 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Hawks | 54c | 822.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Hawks | 75c | 804.63$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Heat | 57c | 764.19$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Hawks | 65c | 727.5$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.86 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Hawks | 55c | 692.16$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 45c | 658.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…ad0fbacked Hawks | 53c | 601$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…6c66backed Hawks | 54c | 600.91$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Hawks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…24eabacked Heat | 47c | 599.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks | 69c | 587.06$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Hawks | 54c | 575.19$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Hawks | 60c | 561.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 50c | 536.03$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…9599backed Heat | 45c | 530.81$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 62c | 524.76$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…1c6bbacked Heat | 52c | 516.42$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…f4c6backed Hawks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hawks | 51c | 499.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Hawks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Hawks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 45c | 473.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 42c | 464.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…aa12backed Heat | 48c | 460.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…4b8fbacked Hawks | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hawks | 59c | 413.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Hawks | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…c9b9backed Heat | 52c | 398.51$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Hawks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Hawks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Hawks | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Heat | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 51c | 349.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…2c73backed Heat | 52c | 342.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks | 46c | 322.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.77 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Hawks | 48c | 312.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Hawks | 53c | 300.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Hawks | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Heat | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b9c9backed Heat | 44c | 299.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Heat | 26c | 283.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.