MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eaf60389d10c46263999690eaf2233e7f66d7f735ba0ffae0bf8ea3fc34f433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Padres, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 34c | 70,000$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,199.93 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Padres | 66c | 55,000$36,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,300 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 66c | 35,000$23,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,100 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 60c | 21,236$12,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,804.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 66c | 15,593$10,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.38 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 34c | 11,313$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,412.17 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies | 33c | 11,111$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,444.37 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 65c | 7,032$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.12 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 63c | 6,626$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.44 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 61c | 4,386$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.06 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 33c | 4,201$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 46c | 3,404$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockies | 42c | 3,388$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.31 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 28c | 3,300$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 50c | 2,888$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 5c | 2,462$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockies | 33c | 2,420$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rockies | 54c | 2,364$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.6 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Rockies | 34c | 1,813$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 66c | 1,569$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.75 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rockies | 35c | 1,371$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.15 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Padres | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 34c | 1,189$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Rockies | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockies | 33c | 888.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.37 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 32c | 859.16$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.23 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockies | 57c | 813$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Padres | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockies | 34c | 723$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.18 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Padres | 67c | 626.87$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 3c | 550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 4c | 534$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 65c | 514$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 58c | 473.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Padres | 54c | 463.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Padres | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 33c | 420.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Padres | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 5c | 392$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 36c | 389.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Padres | 68c | 294.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Padres | 66c | 281.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies | 35c | 228$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…1b9ebacked Rockies | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Padres | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Rockies | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 38c | 123.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Rockies | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…f6cabacked Padres | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 66c | 104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 35c | 100.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rockies | 78c | 99.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 28c | 88.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 23c | 86.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Padres | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Padres | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Padres | 65c | 61.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 18c | 58.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…13d2backed Padres | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Padres | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Rockies | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…6609backed Padres | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Padres | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Rockies | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Rockies | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Padres | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Rockies | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…4b16backed Padres | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Padres | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Padres | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Padres | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Padres | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Padres | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Padres | 66c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Padres | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…82a8backed Padres | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Padres | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Padres | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Padres | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Padres | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Rockiesthis page
- Padres vs. Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.