NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bad670f9a80d8bc47ea9d113fb84ef5ad03f5aa2e89a4eb271627958a7d2b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Senators, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7da5…1025backed Senators | 42c | 103,055$43,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,283.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…d1b0backed Capitals | 58c | 103,055$59,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,283.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 18,865$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Senators | 42c | 18,193$7,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,709.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Senators | 1c | 9,682$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 68c | 9,163$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.13 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…4a20backed Senators | 43c | 8,069$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…6378backed Capitals | 57c | 7,970$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…1237backed Capitals | 57c | 6,118$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…7a0ebacked Senators | 43c | 6,019$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 34c | 5,738$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 40c | 5,612$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.45 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 58c | 4,589$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.03 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Capitals | 62c | 4,387$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.95 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Capitals | 57c | 2,903$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.22 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…216cbacked Capitals | 60c | 2,711$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Senators | 42c | 2,060$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.19 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Capitals | 58c | 1,980$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 61c | 1,743$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.74 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 7c | 1,591$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Senators | 43c | 1,311$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Capitals | 58c | 1,202$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.82 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Senators | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Capitals | 57c | 1,057$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 58c | 994.33$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Senators | 42c | 990$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Senators | 42c | 990$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 22c | 920.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Senators | 2c | 682.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 79c | 592.49$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 57c | 591.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Capitals | 55c | 560$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 64c | 523.07$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.89 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 57c | 513.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.55 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Capitals | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 60c | 495.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Capitals | 57c | 467$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 33c | 456$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…b9d4backed Senators | 29c | 452.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Capitals | 58c | 364.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 61c | 339.76$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Capitals | 58c | 308$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 56c | 299.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 7c | 294.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Senators | 42c | 286.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 57c | 275$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Senators | 5c | 263.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals | 56c | 227.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…2d3abacked Senators | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…d8e6backed Capitals | 57c | 226.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 38c | 213.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed Capitals | 59c | 206$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Senators | 45c | 200.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Senators | 10c | 200.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…ea34backed Senators | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7877…58edbacked Capitals | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Senators | 52c | 191.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Capitals | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…e671backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 58c | 162.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 57c | 154.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Capitals | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Senators | 42c | 148.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…b1ffbacked Senators | 44c | 140.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…b735backed Capitals | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Senators | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…205bbacked Capitals | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed Capitals | 77c | 116.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…1abfbacked Senators | 44c | 114.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a66…baa9backed Senators | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…12f5backed Senators | 44c | 113.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Senators | 40c | 112.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…c2b5backed Senators | 44c | 111.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 57c | 108.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…6c96backed Senators | 44c | 107.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Capitals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Senators | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Senators | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Senators | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…53d6backed Senators | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…7034backed Senators | 44c | 97.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…5286backed Capitals | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ee9fbacked Capitals | 58c | 93.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…7ab7backed Senators | 44c | 92.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…f295backed Senators | 43c | 92.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…d111backed Capitals | 58c | 92.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…73c6backed Senators | 44c | 92.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…25cbbacked Capitals | 58c | 92.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…aff3backed Capitals | 57c | 91.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Capitals | 75c | 89.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…67c6backed Capitals | 58c | 88.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Capitals | 68c | 88.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.