TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks27c8,316$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,074.4235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…377fbacked Ducks29c5,318$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Jets74c3,586$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks30c3,429$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.61,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3698…1580backed Jets71c3,384$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jets70c2,800$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed Jets72c2,145$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…078fbacked Jets71c1,932$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Ducks30c1,571$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks27c1,402$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0271,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Jets74c1,096$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.23520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets72c999.96$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.971,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets70c996.88$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jets66c500$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks26c462$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks28c457.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Ducks30c424.11$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3413241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Jets71c422.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Jets74c380$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.25750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ducks26c370$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.847249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks27c346.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Ducks29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Jets60c320$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.66465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Ducks42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jets71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21311951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks28c255$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks21c249.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks7c241.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks42c240.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Jets70c205.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.11553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jets71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.419547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Ducks26c169.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Ducks27c149.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.129554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jets70c139.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Jets72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jets73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Jets74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks27c129.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Jets71c117.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.147660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jets73c112.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets65c106.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.853,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Jets73c95.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Jets65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Ducks26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Jets72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Ducks29c69.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.164266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Jets73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Jets74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Jets66c60.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d03…f3b1backed Jets73c59.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac6…78c0backed Jets73c55.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ducks28c50.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5962944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7351…fddabacked Ducks27c50.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484f…d384backed Jets73c50.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3340%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe551…544abacked Ducks30c50.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba98…6440backed Ducks26c45.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+99.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Ducks29c44.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2364…99f4backed Ducks27c44.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+136.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…b038backed Jets74c44.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Jets72c44.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0439757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks27c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1224546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ecc…8d01backed Jets73c43.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f6…3a1dbacked Jets71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe81d…bb38backed Ducks28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Jets72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0b…8a7ebacked Ducks27c38.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+132.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe884…4344backed Jets73c38.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d73…a285backed Ducks28c37.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa19…36ecbacked Jets74c36.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ee…db88backed Ducks28c36.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+182.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90d7…7b2abacked Jets74c36.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8739…1f85backed Jets73c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Jets71c35.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…ba97backed Jets73c34.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.38366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Jets72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6817…882fbacked Jets73c33.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5128…51b1backed Jets73c32.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…3273backed Jets70c32.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8950…4f1abacked Jets73c32.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4350%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c69…6a4abacked Jets73c31.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dd…28babacked Jets73c31.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ac…32d3backed Jets73c31.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156d…1134backed Jets73c31.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde68…a68dbacked Jets73c30.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3062…eb3fbacked Jets73c30.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f57…4c77backed Jets73c30.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.95580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea1…952bbacked Jets74c30.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8a…4146backed Jets56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…e9a6backed Jets73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…c477backed Jets73c29.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfc…be87backed Jets73c29.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…ef98backed Jets73c29.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.