TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Angels, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels37c34,300$12,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,772.5356451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Angels36c25,555$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,355.1860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers63c17,110$10,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,831.5663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers47c15,919$7,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.681,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Rangers64c12,970$8,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,350.8514052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rangers63c12,846$8,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,08923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels36c12,599$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,063.5138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels64c6,798$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.6721747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Angels40c6,568$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.5754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Rangers32c6,000$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Angels38c5,020$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels36c4,969$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.2243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Rangers62c3,380$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers29c2,285$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers61c2,204$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.641,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Angels51c2,000$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.822458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rangers63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers61c1,546$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers32c1,254$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rangers2c1,174$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Angels37c1,151$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.1350843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Angels37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0865248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Angels39c961.54$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.5470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels39c899.97$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Angels37c750$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.524547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels54c665.17$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.592,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels35c663.52$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.292,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers13c639.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.286,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers27c616.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.394,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers57c582.84$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Rangers63c576$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels38c566.68$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels38c554.58$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.841,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers61c552.49$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.51,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Angels37c517$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers61c491$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.511,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Angels36c483.79$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Angels39c411$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7117946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels39c399.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.981,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels39c385$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.851,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Rangers11c351$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2610713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Rangers64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Angels50c299.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.021,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Rangers62c296.45$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Angels37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2721146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Angels38c264$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Angels38c249.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels59c247.08$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rangers61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels37c237.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8446631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Rangers61c229.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Angels53c218$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4616654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers60c205$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Angels54c204.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Rangers6c188.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Angels38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.612857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Rangers64c156.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.896435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0e15…d76bbacked Rangers54c151$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Angels46c151$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Angels39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff17…da9fbacked Angels39c144.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Angels39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0378454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a1cbbacked Angels39c130.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rangers32c102.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8245732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers35c101$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.554441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Angels40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Angels40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Rangers61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6114863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe63…4772backed Angels39c95.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.971275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Rangers61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Rangers50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6216140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Angels47c70.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.366657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Angels75c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6625364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Rangers62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Rangers64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ba…d03cbacked Angels39c57.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Angels36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.841,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels50c53.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9439…51debacked Angels66c52.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers62c51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.622,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3266751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Angels40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Rangers61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Rangers61c41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.017553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Angels37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.545944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Angels47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.216053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Angels51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2253639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Rangers62c38.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Angels37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…6145backed Rangers54c37.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Angels37c36.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2966250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers62c32.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.