NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5449f6390e31feb35947e73f9a2f2c3ffc6a0b575b5f245cb926a47b9e4590a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Magic | 27c | 7,571$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.62 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 74c | 6,554$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.66 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 74c | 3,580$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.17 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Thunder | 66c | 2,577$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Magic | 34c | 2,478$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Magic | 3c | 2,361$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 24c | 1,556$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,129$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Magic | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 64c | 1,066$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.71 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Magic | 28c | 1,012$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Magic | 40c | 776.3$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 575.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Magic | 23c | 574.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Thunder | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Magic | 15c | 481.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Magic | 35c | 444.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Magic | 36c | 399.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Magic | 28c | 398.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Thunder | 69c | 334.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Thunder | 63c | 332.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Thunder | 67c | 300.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Magic | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Thunder | 61c | 296.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Magic | 10c | 268.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Thunder | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Magic | 38c | 266$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Magic | 42c | 236.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 68c | 203$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Magic | 12c | 196.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Magic | 27c | 185.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…e2e1backed Magic | 34c | 161.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Magic | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Thunder | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Magic | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…9c06backed Thunder | 67c | 149.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Thunder | 69c | 145.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Magic | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Magic | 19c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Magic | 16c | 135.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f7f4backed Magic | 34c | 134.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Magic | 32c | 129.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 70c | 129$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…8a68backed Thunder | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 73c | 112.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Thunder | 63c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Thunder | 63c | 103.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 57c | 101.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Thunder | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Magic | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Thunder | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…e8c6backed Magic | 39c | 81.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…a9cabacked Thunder | 67c | 81.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Magic | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 63c | 79.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…a70dbacked Thunder | 67c | 78.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Thunder | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…0b58backed Magic | 36c | 74.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…8e32backed Thunder | 67c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Thunder | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…3583backed Thunder | 65c | 72.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…9860backed Thunder | 63c | 71.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Thunder | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…ef16backed Magic | 24c | 65.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…6b93backed Magic | 38c | 65.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Magic | 32c | 63.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Thunder | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Thunder | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…f310backed Thunder | 67c | 60.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Magic | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Thunder | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Magic | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Magic | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed Magic | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Thunder | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Magic | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Magic | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Magic | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Thunder | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Thunder | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Thunder | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…a02bbacked Magic | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…b056backed Thunder | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Thunder | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Thunder | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Magic | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…b787backed Thunder | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7eb9backed Thunder | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…0218backed Thunder | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Thunder | 64c | 28.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…fd0fbacked Thunder | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…d9afbacked Thunder | 66c | 27.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Thunder | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Thunder | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.