NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc804f2dab9fc01bd0664f23546c1f42708c59553fe1ca82d55c942691e7b5791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b2…87afbacked Islanders | 48c | 10,039$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…e054backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 10,028$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 7,990$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 48c | 3,416$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders | 47c | 3,361$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.78 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 49c | 3,297$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.48 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…1d24backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,910$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…680abacked Islanders | 1c | 1,763$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,539$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e1…03a7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,129$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Islanders | 48c | 1,029$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.61 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 2c | 979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 899.97$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 47c | 776.95$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Islanders | 45c | 699.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 45c | 624.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.98 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 23c | 541.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 435.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Islanders | 49c | 365.91$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 364.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6d31backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…54d4backed Islanders | 49c | 342.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…f075backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 329.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 49c | 321.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…799cbacked Islanders | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Islanders | 52c | 270.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 249.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders | 49c | 245.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Islanders | 49c | 239.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…69b4backed Islanders | 47c | 222.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…f007backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 222.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Islanders | 48c | 207.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 44c | 197.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…dc64backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 177.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…9bf6backed Islanders | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 175.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Islanders | 46c | 158.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 35c | 156.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Islanders | 37c | 146.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 136.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…bd23backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…55d6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 133.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…ac5bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 124.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…4629backed Islanders | 41c | 124.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…a2cebacked Islanders | 46c | 124.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…e7a3backed Islanders | 49c | 122.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 122.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 111.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Islanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Islanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Islanders | 41c | 97.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e2b2backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 95.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…56e4backed Islanders | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Islanders | 49c | 92.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…bde3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 92.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…fca3backed Islanders | 49c | 87.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 86.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…0003backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…dba7backed Islanders | 44c | 76.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…0c1bbacked Islanders | 49c | 75.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…718fbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 74.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 71.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…2260backed Islanders | 46c | 69.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…c8debacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 69.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…2496backed Islanders | 46c | 67.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…2fafbacked Islanders | 46c | 67.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…81a4backed Islanders | 46c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…9cc1backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…72ffbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 62.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…4499backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 61.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…ef26backed Islanders | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…8ba4backed Islanders | 42c | 61.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Islanders | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2499…fed3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 58.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…e8dabacked Islanders | 45c | 58.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Islanders | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 53.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…cfb2backed Islanders | 49c | 53.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…3d27backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 53.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…2d02backed Islanders | 47c | 51.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…fe99backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 50.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.