NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115730e5957c25f2f0f7ec78247df97630d689ab5e3b9bb6807eebd8c58c114b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Islanders, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders | 53c | 2,065$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.46 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 2c | 1,442$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins | 53c | 1,260$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.02 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Islanders | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 52c | 797.05$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 46c | 585.73$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Islanders | 10c | 573.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 47c | 377$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Penguins | 46c | 348.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 20c | 323.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 53c | 299.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Penguins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Penguins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Islanders | 36c | 270.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Islanders | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Islanders | 55c | 195.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Islanders | 57c | 162$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 27c | 115.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 52c | 113.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Islanders | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Penguins | 47c | 111.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Penguins | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Penguins | 46c | 99.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 53c | 97.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 47c | 97.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Islanders | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…fca3backed Penguins | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…8e65backed Penguins | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 48c | 57.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Penguins | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…7b95backed Penguins | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…fbcdbacked Penguins | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…1accbacked Penguins | 47c | 48.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…ecaebacked Penguins | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…19f8backed Islanders | 54c | 47.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…a2eabacked Islanders | 51c | 46.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…1c24backed Penguins | 47c | 44.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…8148backed Islanders | 53c | 44.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…cd6ebacked Penguins | 46c | 44.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…3fc0backed Penguins | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…55eebacked Islanders | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…325dbacked Penguins | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…95d3backed Penguins | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…2309backed Penguins | 46c | 40.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…ae83backed Islanders | 51c | 40.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…26d0backed Penguins | 49c | 40.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…4c85backed Penguins | 46c | 40.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fe9cbacked Islanders | 54c | 40.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Penguins | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…ef6ebacked Penguins | 46c | 39.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…a582backed Islanders | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…72ffbacked Islanders | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…d4cebacked Penguins | 47c | 39.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…1c52backed Islanders | 54c | 39.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…232abacked Penguins | 49c | 38.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…9a02backed Islanders | 51c | 38.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d0…3797backed Islanders | 54c | 38.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…fe65backed Islanders | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…3a39backed Islanders | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…7ff1backed Penguins | 46c | 35.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…996fbacked Islanders | 54c | 35.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…66a0backed Islanders | 54c | 35.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…cfdfbacked Penguins | 47c | 34.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…ffebbacked Islanders | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0fcabacked Islanders | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…4c0abacked Islanders | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…193ebacked Islanders | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…8ed9backed Islanders | 53c | 33.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…eb3bbacked Islanders | 53c | 33.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…2a46backed Penguins | 46c | 32.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…552cbacked Islanders | 50c | 32.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…ece0backed Penguins | 50c | 32.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…c8f5backed Islanders | 54c | 32.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7710…4478backed Islanders | 53c | 32.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba2…ca24backed Islanders | 53c | 32.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…9cc1backed Islanders | 53c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…91fdbacked Penguins | 46c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…2496backed Islanders | 54c | 32.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…38ebbacked Islanders | 53c | 31.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1211…e542backed Islanders | 54c | 31.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…7765backed Penguins | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…00fbbacked Penguins | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…960bbacked Penguins | 46c | 29.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…b2edbacked Penguins | 46c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…1d90backed Islanders | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…3bf8backed Islanders | 54c | 29.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2e…6b5dbacked Islanders | 54c | 29.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee31…8715backed Penguins | 46c | 29.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…931cbacked Penguins | 46c | 28.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…f1febacked Penguins | 49c | 28.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…6eacbacked Islanders | 53c | 28.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…6437backed Penguins | 47c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…b92ebacked Islanders | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.