TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Canadiens26c1,257$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.722751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853c…37ddbacked Avalanche75c1,112$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens38c1,067$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche73c811.46$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.081,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Canadiens40c790$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47413361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche54c690$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Avalanche74c672.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505e…5634backed Canadiens29c620.82$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5603…5296backed Canadiens27c518.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+176.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Avalanche73c491.73$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.972347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens26c485.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.5129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens27c419.15$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche51c414.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Avalanche68c400.1$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.071553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche63c353.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens26c280.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.211,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens26c274.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Avalanche5c268$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Avalanche75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-54.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens26c204.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens50c201.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Avalanche75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a2c…b751backed Canadiens21c175.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.231526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Canadiens19c147.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.966137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Avalanche73c145.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.969153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche69c140.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Avalanche74c135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche73c110.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Canadiens29c101.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche68c93.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Avalanche74c74.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Canadiens27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e92…07a6backed Avalanche74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Avalanche75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Avalanche75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed Canadiens27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…ec57backed Avalanche59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Avalanche75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…60c9backed Canadiens27c50.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…f75dbacked Avalanche72c48.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b67…d01fbacked Canadiens28c47.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche74c43.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0439757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b7…7a3abacked Avalanche73c41.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8a…4146backed Avalanche70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Avalanche74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9425…f9f6backed Canadiens28c39.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7351…fddabacked Avalanche73c36.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Avalanche66c36.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Avalanche79c35.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d9f…9a8dbacked Avalanche72c33.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6794…4bd0backed Avalanche72c33.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1837…0c52backed Avalanche71c32.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6122…1b92backed Avalanche73c32.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6052…5343backed Avalanche74c31.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1571…dc35backed Avalanche74c31.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b5…59b1backed Avalanche73c31.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8251…f215backed Avalanche74c30.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…3607backed Canadiens45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe82…6555backed Avalanche74c29.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b0…bff4backed Avalanche73c29.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9834…72ebbacked Avalanche71c29.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d1…a6aebacked Avalanche74c29.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0abe…91a1backed Avalanche72c29.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…5195backed Avalanche74c28.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…c507backed Avalanche73c28.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280b…5d40backed Avalanche73c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab6…0c5abacked Avalanche74c27.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Avalanche73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Avalanche74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…714dbacked Avalanche75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9033…4970backed Avalanche75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8426…1491backed Avalanche74c26.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05b…a40fbacked Avalanche72c26.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…f53abacked Avalanche72c26.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Avalanche78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205750.9%29 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Canadiens50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…a0f2backed Avalanche74c24.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb067…4362backed Avalanche73c24.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2e…4068backed Avalanche74c24.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfb…d2a3backed Avalanche73c24.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…58d2backed Avalanche74c24.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Avalanche70c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x186c…832fbacked Avalanche74c23.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e54…4423backed Avalanche73c23.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…c2fabacked Avalanche72c23.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d6…4143backed Avalanche73c23.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ed…6e3fbacked Avalanche72c22.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd1…d8e7backed Avalanche73c22.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e73…6d6abacked Avalanche74c22.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ca…e9edbacked Avalanche74c22.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4de…6ad0backed Avalanche73c21.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa429…80cbbacked Avalanche70c21.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53c…6bf7backed Avalanche73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Avalanche62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.