NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d67658da77dcaba63caa58f24efcbb0a01a3c282926394f97bf092998adb6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5486…f674backed Flyers | 40c | 10,058$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…3c44backed Stars | 60c | 10,027$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 41c | 6,778$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.72 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…3e46backed Flyers | 41c | 4,400$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…7a73backed Stars | 59c | 2,700$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Stars | 60c | 2,507$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 40c | 2,068$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.3 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…0b0ebacked Stars | 59c | 1,706$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Stars | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Stars | 61c | 782.53$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.19 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Stars | 60c | 714.89$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.96 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 11c | 697.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Stars | 61c | 687.61$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Flyers | 40c | 681.18$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Stars | 58c | 647.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.09 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers | 40c | 557$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers | 41c | 529$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers | 41c | 522$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…c4bbbacked Stars | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Stars | 79c | 350.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Stars | 61c | 326.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…863ebacked Flyers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 40c | 268.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 13c | 232.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Stars | 58c | 203.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Stars | 60c | 197.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Stars | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Stars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 38c | 169.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…e1d6backed Stars | 59c | 152.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Flyers | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flyers | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 39c | 128.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 42c | 124.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…f19dbacked Flyers | 40c | 109.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…8294backed Stars | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Stars | 60c | 106.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Stars | 72c | 105.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…e610backed Flyers | 40c | 105.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…2a8ebacked Stars | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…b442backed Flyers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Stars | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…c25abacked Flyers | 40c | 96.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 23c | 94.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…5aa3backed Stars | 61c | 84.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 60c | 79.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…cdc8backed Stars | 61c | 78.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…a266backed Flyers | 41c | 73.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Flyers | 43c | 71.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…a953backed Stars | 62c | 69.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…df8abacked Stars | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Stars | 77c | 64.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 64c | 63.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…d72bbacked Flyers | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…b260backed Flyers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Flyers | 41c | 58.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…be78backed Stars | 59c | 56.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…f37fbacked Flyers | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…2bcebacked Stars | 61c | 54.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…8f13backed Stars | 61c | 53.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Stars | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Flyers | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Stars | 62c | 49.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Flyers | 41c | 49.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Stars | 62c | 48.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…17e5backed Stars | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Stars | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Flyers | 42c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Stars | 61c | 43.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…531dbacked Flyers | 41c | 43.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa531…9ce0backed Flyers | 41c | 42.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…ed97backed Stars | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…ebdfbacked Stars | 61c | 40.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…9231backed Flyers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Flyers | 40c | 39.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…ca65backed Flyers | 39c | 39.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Flyers | 39c | 38.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…34f3backed Flyers | 40c | 38.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953d…0800backed Flyers | 41c | 36.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8f10backed Stars | 60c | 36.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…d777backed Stars | 61c | 34.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…47f9backed Flyers | 39c | 33.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…f140backed Flyers | 41c | 33.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Flyers | 42c | 32.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…5d32backed Stars | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…73bfbacked Flyers | 41c | 31.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…7b4abacked Stars | 59c | 31.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a2c1backed Stars | 58c | 31.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…b044backed Flyers | 39c | 30.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…7b5ebacked Stars | 61c | 30.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.