TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Sabres9c3,428$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Sharks37c3,050$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.1523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks32c2,143$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Sabres67c1,503$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.012669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres66c1,502$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.3392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Sharks33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabres34c1,371$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres47c1,225$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres63c1,080$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1513754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres66c999.99$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.9397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Sharks32c984.53$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks25c788$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.651,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Sabres69c773.95$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53731753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks33c681.7$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Sharks33c669.55$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Sabres49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Sharks69c501.04$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.862356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde03…6433backed Sharks34c452.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Sabres5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres36c259.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5e…dbefbacked Sabres67c253.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Sabres69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres65c249.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres6c243$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Sabres44c229.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Sabres68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…0ccebacked Sabres67c194.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Sharks34c187.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Sabres67c172.13$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6714844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Sharks31c149.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.658440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…f87dbacked Sabres69c146.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres71c141.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab2…05c7backed Sharks31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…30a7backed Sabres71c126$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9d55backed Sharks30c114$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267d…7b65backed Sharks36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…c723backed Sharks34c105.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Sharks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51c…4c1fbacked Sharks35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+74.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6628542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…3f31backed Sharks34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d4…7140backed Sabres67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Sharks32c99.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.978145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Sabres67c98.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.142458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…da41backed Sabres67c90.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.472429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Sharks34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed Sabres67c88.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5694…728abacked Sharks29c87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486a…5af9backed Sabres69c81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres74c80.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f25…b605backed Sharks29c77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4043…5246backed Sharks29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e21…6c0ebacked Sharks27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+126.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fcd…1083backed Sharks29c74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2034…6549backed Sabres71c72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Sharks55c69.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.412646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cd…febebacked Sabres67c69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.232347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b18…09f7backed Sharks27c67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3267…56cabacked Sabres70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f3…e142backed Sabres71c65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6f…6ed1backed Sharks29c63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86f…050ebacked Sharks27c61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187c…ff28backed Sharks29c61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Sabres66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Sharks34c60.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Sabres68c58.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…f570backed Sharks29c56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d38…ebf1backed Sabres66c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0498…52c5backed Sabres67c50.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d6…8328backed Sharks29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b3…5852backed Sharks34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9e…7c9ebacked Sharks29c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…ea13backed Sabres69c49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4821…cf7cbacked Sharks29c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c04…9d38backed Sharks29c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec7…e6debacked Sabres67c46.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.032157.1%12 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…955cbacked Sabres66c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Sabres68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…b959backed Sabres71c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99be…6312backed Sharks31c42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65a…8303backed Sharks29c42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…63debacked Sharks54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd122…ec4dbacked Sharks34c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Sharks30c40.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3516437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…5f70backed Sharks73c40.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.961566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e5…60f1backed Sharks34c40.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6437…4460backed Sharks29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e2…aaa5backed Sharks29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…4bb1backed Sharks31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6072…b753backed Sharks33c39.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…070ebacked Sabres46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd897…df42backed Sharks34c39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853d…b811backed Sharks54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…bdcbbacked Sabres46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Sabres67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3929…d2debacked Sabres46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.