NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14dfab76df8f391178f8d63564c619098e0d3b3a9c7f654741f494e010026b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 11c | 21,962$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 24c | 3,995$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.98 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 26c | 3,482$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.44 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.93 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 74c | 2,489$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.83 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Oilers | 75c | 1,503$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Ducks | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Oilers | 22c | 1,116$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers | 75c | 1,111$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.25 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 25c | 1,107$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.04 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 75c | 1,074$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.1 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 22c | 1,039$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Ducks | 71c | 983.91$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 10c | 922.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Oilers | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 26c | 739$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.42 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 75c | 709.33$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…0668backed Ducks | 27c | 621$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…ce75backed Oilers | 75c | 446.09$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Oilers | 75c | 444.95$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…de1cbacked Ducks | 26c | 423.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 25c | 409.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…db23backed Ducks | 25c | 399.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 75c | 363.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed Oilers | 73c | 290$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Oilers | 5c | 270.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…f342backed Oilers | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Oilers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d536backed Ducks | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Oilers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…be3dbacked Ducks | 25c | 157$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +200%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…4e32backed Oilers | 76c | 138.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…566fbacked Ducks | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Oilers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Oilers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Oilers | 76c | 126.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a112backed Ducks | 24c | 108$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc685…d042backed Ducks | 25c | 105$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…37f0backed Ducks | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…aa89backed Ducks | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…7d0fbacked Ducks | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Ducks | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Oilers | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…d1e0backed Oilers | 75c | 99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Ducks | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d20…4ec1backed Ducks | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Oilers | 75c | 96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Oilers | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…560cbacked Oilers | 73c | 95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 77c | 93.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…be51backed Oilers | 75c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 29c | 88.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…1ba7backed Ducks | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 75c | 86.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Oilers | 75c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…2192backed Oilers | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b966backed Ducks | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…ec32backed Ducks | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 74c | 73.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Ducks | 25c | 72.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…6c96backed Ducks | 26c | 72.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…c500backed Ducks | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbb…eac9backed Ducks | 26c | 70.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc2…a137backed Oilers | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…77e5backed Oilers | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5c…ee94backed Ducks | 26c | 68.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…cc02backed Ducks | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb440…6806backed Oilers | 76c | 67.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…570dbacked Ducks | 25c | 66.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…7faebacked Oilers | 76c | 66.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…00c4backed Oilers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…552cbacked Ducks | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…eb75backed Oilers | 75c | 65.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Oilers | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…8fe1backed Oilers | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…c2a6backed Oilers | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…8cfebacked Oilers | 76c | 61.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…d1a6backed Ducks | 25c | 61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…19bebacked Ducks | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…5c07backed Ducks | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…ec79backed Oilers | 76c | 59.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…71bebacked Ducks | 26c | 57.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…52fbbacked Oilers | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…b5febacked Oilers | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…1517backed Ducks | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Ducks | 31c | 51.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…0241backed Ducks | 25c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Ducks | 79c | 50.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Oilers | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Ducks | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Oilers | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.