NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Hornets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1628f08244e9ba3614e7d11b13bcbe69f71460b14978b5c4536e7712ad3625ae

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Hornets
Resolved: Mar 5, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $217,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1025…aaf4backed Hornets	26c	26,055$6,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,747.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Hornets	11c	19,072$2,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,148.35	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets	14c	17,454$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,431.09	345	32.8%113 W · 232 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Timberwolves	74c	11,720$8,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,047.2	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hornets	24c	11,221$2,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,735.44	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets	26c	8,038$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058.13	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves	73c	6,577$4,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,778.43	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Hornets	0c	5,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves	75c	4,872$3,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.08	339	31.9%108 W · 231 L	-28.5wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves	77c	4,833$3,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.56	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves	74c	4,025$2,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.07	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves	75c	3,209$2,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.37	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves	75c	2,676$2,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.96	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets	1c	2,659$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets	14c	2,426$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.6	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves	74c	2,394$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.43	613	45.5%279 W · 334 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets	6c	2,113$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.4	319	35.1%112 W · 207 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves	74c	2,000$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.99	730	51.8%378 W · 352 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves	75c	1,500$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	297	47.5%141 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves	77c	1,488$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.83	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves	78c	1,343$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.3	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Hornets	2c	1,300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	300	61.7%185 W · 115 L	+23.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd3…3e17backed Hornets	10c	1,286$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-60%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves	75c	1,285$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.31	201	53.7%108 W · 93 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves	75c	1,168$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.14	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	-17.8wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets	23c	1,060$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.8	736	47.3%348 W · 388 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets	25c	999.99$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets	2c	947.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets	4c	931.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Hornets	23c	915.43$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.55	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves	74c	863$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.38	577	60.5%349 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Timberwolves	78c	769.23$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.23	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves	74c	712.78$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.55	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets	24c	635$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.4	777	45%350 W · 427 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves	78c	627.01$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.71	398	43.5%173 W · 225 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Timberwolves	77c	587.29$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.08	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Timberwolves	74c	581.08$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.08	208	51.4%107 W · 101 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets	12c	559.74$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.79	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Timberwolves	77c	519.25$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.59	258	65.5%169 W · 89 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves	73c	416.91$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.73	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets	24c	408.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets	23c	405$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.06	855	42%359 W · 496 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Hornets	23c	400$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…c59bbacked Hornets	20c	386$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hornets	24c	327.08$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Timberwolves	78c	320.51$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.51	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Timberwolves	77c	311.69$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.69	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Timberwolves	76c	311.21$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.8	504	53.8%271 W · 233 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Hornets	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	404	48.3%195 W · 209 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Hornets	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-83.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Hornets	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Timberwolves	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hornets	23c	299.97$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	457	43.3%198 W · 259 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Hornets	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	174	20.1%35 W · 139 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Timberwolves	74c	263.51$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.51	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed Hornets	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves	76c	216.59$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.98	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets	24c	208.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	29.6%72 W · 171 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Timberwolves	77c	207.79$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.79	286	51.4%147 W · 139 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e6…216dbacked Hornets	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Timberwolves	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Timberwolves	72c	193.91$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.29	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Hornets	25c	186.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Hornets	24c	178.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.92	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Hornets	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…dc04backed Hornets	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	171	36.8%63 W · 108 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Hornets	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	40.9%45 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Timberwolves	77c	176.66$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.63	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Timberwolves	76c	174.06$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.67	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda8a…9c0cbacked Timberwolves	77c	170.47$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.21	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Hornets	24c	169.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets	13c	169.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	472	29.4%139 W · 333 L	-33.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Hornets	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	190	38.4%73 W · 117 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Timberwolves	77c	166.44$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.28	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets	12c	166$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Timberwolves	73c	163$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Timberwolves	75c	160$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	90	38.9%35 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Timberwolves	76c	159$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…24debacked Hornets	30c	158$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Hornets	24c	154.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e95…8afcbacked Hornets	27c	148.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.02	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Timberwolves	65c	140$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Timberwolves	77c	140$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	210	62.9%132 W · 78 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c4…470bbacked Timberwolves	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	215	62.8%135 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets	18c	132$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.66	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	893	53%473 W · 420 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Timberwolves	78c	128.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.28	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Hornets	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9a…a785backed Hornets	25c	121.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…0416backed Hornets	20c	116$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Hornets	21c	114.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	718	23.3%167 W · 551 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Timberwolves	78c	106.41$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb95…de6ebacked Timberwolves	67c	106$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets	22c	105.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	502	45.8%230 W · 272 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Hornets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market