Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697bd18b6ce33ae09e061048f7a694cc1581485349a8c0e52c47c2c4efc406bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Partizan | 18c | 2,857$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valencia | 78c | 1,589$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Partizan | 29c | 1,106$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Partizan | 18c | 966.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Valencia | 80c | 806$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Partizan | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Valencia | 73c | 375.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valencia | 79c | 334.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Partizan | 19c | 310.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Valencia | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…d221backed Partizan | 14c | 215.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 23c | 213.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Partizan | 17c | 199.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Partizan | 24c | 188.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Valencia | 76c | 173.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…ca6abacked Partizan | 10c | 146.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Partizan | 22c | 131.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Partizan | 17c | 124.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Partizan | 20c | 108.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Partizan | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Valencia | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Partizan | 22c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Partizan | 15c | 86.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Valencia | 71c | 81.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Partizan | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Partizan | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valencia | 75c | 57.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.