Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e4aca9731481d5152c2352d1afba5b1c8693af8f54bd287f6654ac08739fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 8,911$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 66c | 3,209$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.48 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed FC Bayern Munchen | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 54c | 1,523$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FC Bayern Munchen | 71c | 1,360$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.93 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 778.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.51 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 776.03$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.01 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 756$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.92 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 67c | 555.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 547.76$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FC Bayern Munchen | 69c | 391.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 369.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…856fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 361.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 301.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed FC Bayern Munchen | 10c | 298.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 232$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 221.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…1f0bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 144.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 62c | 91.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 81.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 43.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…4446backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 36.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 50c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed FC Bayern Munchen | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 21.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.