Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4000cc4a90192c884647ddeaaa6749166cc1f33dd2fb4a7a0e330cd97b96455c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizanof Partizan, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Partizan | 49c | 6,118$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 52c | 2,821$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.93 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 1,348$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.69 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Partizan | 52c | 856$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Partizan | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Partizan | 45c | 517.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Partizan | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 449.31$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Partizan | 39c | 432.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Partizan | 17c | 406.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…0997backed Partizan | 55c | 332.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 300.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Partizan | 37c | 177.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Partizan | 27c | 133$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 74c | 127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 103.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Partizan | 18c | 99.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 88.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…ca6abacked Partizan | 28c | 67.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…239ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Partizan | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Partizan | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Partizan | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 33.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Partizan | 49c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…5c19backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…c5cdbacked Partizan | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Partizan | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Partizan | 65c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.