Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f25989610d9c857d03c1a125d3b55b0f3a588fd3e4cfff764c715321a2db278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7052…ba33backed Panathinaikos | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 941$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 610$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos | 49c | 444.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Panathinaikos | 9c | 418.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 248.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 52c | 234.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 200.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Panathinaikos | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Panathinaikos | 37c | 108.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 92.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 68c | 83.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 62.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…41b0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 43.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…3b89backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 31.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.