TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$416,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 801 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards51c36,689$18,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,617.481,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Nets41c17,205$7,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,153.5329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nets45c16,102$7,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,859.7147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets44c15,085$6,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,426.8933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0d4…dbcdbacked Nets51c12,745$6,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1b…b9a5backed Wizards49c10,454$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,122.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Wizards28c10,085$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.0522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets44c10,000$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,613.380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Nets76c8,030$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.444484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Wizards60c7,684$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.249572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards47c7,045$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.843,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards54c6,500$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.5530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Wizards54c5,058$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.2228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Wizards55c4,447$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4382321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Nets41c4,339$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.0326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets45c4,000$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards49c3,861$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.4127840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets49c3,608$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Nets50c2,966$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.7529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets46c2,838$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.7137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets52c2,693$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.4440627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Nets32c2,514$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.6334852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Nets41c2,404$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.223342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…22bbbacked Wizards49c2,404$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards48c2,321$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.951,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets45c2,267$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.2661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Nets46c2,168$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.763455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets46c2,159$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.9877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards3c2,100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.288783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards55c2,017$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.5588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Wizards10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards46c1,979$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.7473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Wizards53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Wizards55c1,827$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Nets34c1,766$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.273852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Wizards52c1,720$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.8353134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Wizards56c1,638$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9125865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets49c1,411$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.471,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards60c1,302$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9419535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards40c1,272$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Nets38c1,221$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.6214034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Wizards55c1,170$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64319944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nets61c1,149$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6220447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Wizards28c1,088$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wizards53c1,037$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Nets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Nets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets47c1,000$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.751,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed Nets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets48c988$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.881,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Wizards78c965.64$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Wizards50c931.48$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9748046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards3c920.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wizards38c887.32$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Nets31c861.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.8217943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards49c844$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Nets65c789.31$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.021650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1be…19b7backed Nets52c770.98$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Wizards56c750$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.56250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5ae8backed Nets47c729.68$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.73850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards52c716.4$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5370951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae97…7eabbacked Wizards25c685.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3880%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf296…9839backed Nets45c649.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Nets48c611.94$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.217230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Nets46c600.27$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6528341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets52c575.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.491,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards53c566$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.981,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Wizards55c544.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7518354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4816532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards43c518.61$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.161,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nets49c512.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Nets53c496.23$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2310449%51 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Wizards64c491.7$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3930061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets46c485.1$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets46c471.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nets48c443.46$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Wizards64c418.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7511654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nets46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21895848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187a…f263backed Wizards50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Wizards55c399.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8316563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets50c388.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Wizards64c370.91$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.854254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Nets46c332.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.87055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Wizards41c325$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9420553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Nets46c303.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6133348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Nets33c299.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20131125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Wizards50c299.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.541643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Wizards8c262.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Wizards10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nets76c242.68$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2436751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bb…1329backed Nets78c219.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Nets46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3916129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.