Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84374339e28f9ab93757de003ef423c090111b4abc85203e63620a509712e024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 31c | 1,804$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 69c | 1,222$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.74 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 808.05$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.22 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 677.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 20c | 660.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 440$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 28c | 429.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 24c | 240.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 27c | 178.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 73c | 118$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 53c | 46.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 38.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fa…5ad0backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-05?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.