Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455f773e97c94da6014c8a412a0d8b96b41e65efd80cb7e0424c83ec970f46e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turkeyof Latvia, Turkey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Latvia | 15c | 3,853$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Latvia | 28c | 426.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Turkey | 50c | 401.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked Latvia | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Latvia | 5c | 217$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Latvia | 48c | 151.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…c859backed Turkey | 52c | 143.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…94a0backed Latvia | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Latvia | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Latvia | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Turkey | 48c | 63.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Latvia | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Turkey | 71c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…9037backed Turkey | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Latvia | 35c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Turkey | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Turkey | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.