Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa639f7d4ed56dfc5a7d73d1b8c5ba28eb3fa499d86cc12e0c76dfd5c2c2bdfac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 2,808$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.77 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 50c | 2,378$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.65 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Real Madrid | 35c | 590.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 444.32$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Real Madrid | 77c | 259.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 52c | 151.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 145.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 144.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 38c | 119.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Real Madrid | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Real Madrid | 66c | 97.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Real Madrid | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Real Madrid | 66c | 75.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 67.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 63c | 38.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Real Madrid | 62c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Real Madrid | 61c | 17.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…754abacked Real Madrid | 65c | 16.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.