Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7104fb4506f7d38cf47114b6639a773fee7f360e50d43e36edc9da566197a449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 62c | 9,440$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.63 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…dfa2backed No | 63c | 8,700$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…1004backed Yes | 37c | 8,700$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 38c | 7,899$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.68 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 35c | 5,823$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.42 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 38c | 5,252$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.24 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 62c | 4,201$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.82 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,434$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 38c | 3,316$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.95 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 64c | 3,179$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.59 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 44c | 2,833$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,633$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.92 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 19c | 1,830$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.46 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,557$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.31 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 1,213$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.49 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 8c | 1,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 62c | 1,080$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 63c | 1,053$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.2 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 36c | 1,008$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…a3f5backed Yes | 28c | 999$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 20c | 982.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.02 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 931.73$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked No | 51c | 834$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 62c | 806$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 37c | 802.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.63 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 7c | 633.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 599.92$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 38c | 527.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 38c | 524$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.88 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 66c | 483.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.31 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 36c | 438$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 63c | 424.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 37c | 421.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed No | 67c | 401.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 63c | 378.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.26 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 36c | 371.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 38c | 371.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 37c | 361.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.81 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 18c | 345.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 30c | 336.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 244.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 27c | 207.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 63c | 168.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 62c | 159.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 16c | 138.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 15c | 117$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 38c | 106.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 14c | 102$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…1675backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 37c | 99.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…0089backed No | 63c | 79.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 70.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 26c | 70.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…8113backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…cf6dbacked No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 63c | 59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…2a77backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…449bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 36c | 44.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…8df4backed Yes | 38c | 43.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…08a6backed Yes | 37c | 37.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…0697backed No | 63c | 37.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…53b3backed No | 63c | 36.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…37a8backed Yes | 37c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.