TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5d2…317bbacked No44c19,960$8,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,225.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes33c10,498$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes62c5,093$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.585644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes54c3,559$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.7679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c3,050$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821a…4920backed No62c2,780$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de1…e4a4backed Yes37c2,778$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes41c2,177$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yes56c2,049$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.457458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes39c1,226$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9244939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c1,200$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa003…ebefbacked Yes63c1,035$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes63c1,020$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.648633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes36c794.89$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1622744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes38c789.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.163043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes38c718.62$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No37c668.86$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.114035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes63c537.03$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.71250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes37c533.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No42c522.23$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No60c512.58$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3740135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678c…3c02backed Yes38c505.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked No64c484.98$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Yes63c455$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.651040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes30c427.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.926737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes61c405.69$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.47825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes57c395$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.154055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No61c391.67$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No55c349.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.997241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes58c334$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1113145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes37c281.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.023351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes65c268.83$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.415747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes37c268.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes40c247.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes55c218.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No63c204.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.574252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb606…80f6backed Yes63c169.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.053644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes41c169.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7329653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Yes41c157.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes51c143.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.533754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes63c115.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.994139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes41c110.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.271735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes61c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No41c108.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5715347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No62c104.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7921…4f39backed Yes37c98.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe443…980dbacked Yes37c95.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes40c89.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.139949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3742755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d78…d496backed Yes62c78.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick55cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9220958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x599d…f3cabacked Yes64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac57…f164backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed No76c59.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf9…e593backed No60c55.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.659241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No39c50.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8419632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3116060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes37c49.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4915726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes35c49.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.395829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No46c42.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Yes63c40.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b28…0089backed Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.684660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a0…5f56backed No60c38.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfb…01f8backed No60c37.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…8b91backed Yes40c37.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb92…de1ebacked No59c37.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ff…c55ebacked Yes41c37.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28f…35b4backed Yes40c35.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf43…30acbacked Yes40c35.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1799…37c9backed Yes41c35.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0884…44debacked No59c35.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes37c32.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x870c…90dcbacked No59c32.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69bb…c55dbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77e…098abacked Yes46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…3607backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb807…4e45backed Yes40c29.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5720059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…c4febacked No60c25.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5383…5898backed Yes40c25.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.