Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829145967f90fbf0f701097326a97e9f059455b964e1f14dd2a8b3a6b3325450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 44c | 19,960$8,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,225.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 33c | 10,498$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.8 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,093$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,559$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.76 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 3,050$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…4920backed No | 62c | 2,780$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…e4a4backed Yes | 37c | 2,778$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,177$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.13 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 56c | 2,049$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.45 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 1,226$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.92 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 1,200$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked Yes | 63c | 1,035$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,020$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 36c | 794.89$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 38c | 789.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 38c | 718.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 37c | 668.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 63c | 537.03$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 37c | 533.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 42c | 522.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 60c | 512.58$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…3c02backed Yes | 38c | 505.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked No | 64c | 484.98$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 63c | 455$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 30c | 427.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 405.69$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 57c | 395$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 391.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 55c | 349.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 58c | 334$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 37c | 281.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 65c | 268.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 37c | 268.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 40c | 247.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 55c | 218.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 63c | 204.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 63c | 169.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 169.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Yes | 41c | 157.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 51c | 143.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 63c | 115.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 41c | 110.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 61c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 41c | 108.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 62c | 104.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 37c | 98.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…980dbacked Yes | 37c | 95.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 40c | 89.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…d496backed Yes | 62c | 78.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -76%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…f3cabacked Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…f164backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed No | 76c | 59.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…e593backed No | 60c | 55.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 39c | 50.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 37c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 35c | 49.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 46c | 42.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d77backed Yes | 63c | 40.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…0089backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…5f56backed No | 60c | 38.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…01f8backed No | 60c | 37.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…8b91backed Yes | 40c | 37.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…de1ebacked No | 59c | 37.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…c55ebacked Yes | 41c | 37.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…35b4backed Yes | 40c | 35.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…30acbacked Yes | 40c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…37c9backed Yes | 41c | 35.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0884…44debacked No | 59c | 35.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes | 37c | 32.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…90dcbacked No | 59c | 32.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…c55dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…4e45backed Yes | 40c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…c4febacked No | 60c | 25.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…5898backed Yes | 40c | 25.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.