Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9f40837b10598b517188af82dd3898b44a893fcf959457f93e06415b31e8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 56c | 1,887$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.23 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Barcelona | 54c | 1,841$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.97 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 46c | 1,234$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barcelona | 54c | 1,127$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Barcelona | 53c | 1,107$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 47c | 790.84$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.16 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 40c | 651.06$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 35c | 586.67$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Barcelona | 52c | 441.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 52c | 418.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 48c | 347.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 48c | 338.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Barcelona | 56c | 260.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 52c | 253$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 52c | 234.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Barcelona | 62c | 197$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 37c | 186$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Barcelona | 53c | 123.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 26c | 119.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Barcelona | 51c | 106.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 48c | 103.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barcelona | 51c | 77.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barcelona | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Barcelona | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Olympiacos B.C. | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…613fbacked Barcelona | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…a972backed Barcelona | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olympiacos B.C. | 47c | 48.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Olympiacos B.C. | 51c | 41.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Barcelona | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barcelona | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Barcelona | 49c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Barcelona | 51c | 21.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.