Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2309603d643d27adbf56bf569aa44749bee5e318d417597492f0021c3cacb25b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Finland, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Finland | 30c | 9,408$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.39 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Serbia | 71c | 8,554$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.48 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Finland | 23c | 3,802$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Finland | 16c | 3,250$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.99 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Serbia | 72c | 2,199$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…ac71backed Finland | 18c | 2,180$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Finland | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Serbia | 69c | 1,892$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Finland | 37c | 1,878$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Finland | 20c | 1,631$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Finland | 20c | 1,370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Finland | 12c | 1,093$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Serbia | 64c | 904.29$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Finland | 34c | 849.84$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Finland | 8c | 810.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.98 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Finland | 9c | 667$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.83 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Finland | 8c | 626.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Finland | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Finland | 6c | 619.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Finland | 23c | 613.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Finland | 11c | 600$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…a320backed Serbia | 67c | 580$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…05f2backed Finland | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…2b2cbacked Finland | 22c | 536.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Finland | 32c | 412.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Serbia | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Finland | 27c | 371.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Finland | 23c | 323.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Serbia | 72c | 277.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Serbia | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Finland | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…12febacked Finland | 33c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Finland | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Finland | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Finland | 30c | 99.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Serbia | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Serbia | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Finland | 30c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Finland | 32c | 37.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.