Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Lithuania
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e731f0d500a43c2d2a24aad60114b14e96400e74618f5a2c9178eea2cacde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lithuaniaof Latvia, Lithuania
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lithuania | 73c | 7,117$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.98 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lithuania | 49c | 6,015$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Latvia | 31c | 4,905$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.4 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Latvia | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Latvia | 54c | 2,834$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Latvia | 49c | 2,337$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.73 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Latvia | 28c | 2,131$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Lithuania | 34c | 1,980$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lithuania | 42c | 1,586$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.63 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Latvia | 65c | 1,512$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Lithuania | 35c | 1,213$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Lithuania | 48c | 1,124$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Latvia | 66c | 1,052$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Latvia | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Latvia | 66c | 818.3$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Lithuania | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Lithuania | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Lithuania | 34c | 588.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Latvia | 67c | 467.21$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Lithuania | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Lithuania | 36c | 417.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Lithuania | 70c | 402$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Latvia | 39c | 397.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Lithuania | 34c | 342.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Latvia | 33c | 340.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Latvia | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Latvia | 67c | 238.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…2b2cbacked Lithuania | 34c | 223.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lithuania | 47c | 220.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Latvia | 63c | 208$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Latvia | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Latvia | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…66e1backed Latvia | 67c | 189.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Lithuania | 35c | 165.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…9decbacked Latvia | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Lithuania | 35c | 156.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Latvia | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked Latvia | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Latvia | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Latvia | 64c | 124.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Lithuania | 35c | 112.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lithuania | 63c | 110.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Lithuania | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Lithuania | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Lithuania | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Lithuania | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lithuania | 56c | 84.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Lithuania | 38c | 81.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Latvia | 30c | 73.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Latvia | 31c | 73.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lithuania | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…753bbacked Latvia | 22c | 67.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Lithuania | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Latvia | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Latvia | 34c | 57.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Lithuania | 77c | 51.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Lithuania | 75c | 48.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…9794backed Lithuania | 37c | 44.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Lithuania | 59c | 43.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Latvia | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Lithuania | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Latvia | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Lithuania | 34c | 33.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…d6bfbacked Latvia | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…5655backed Latvia | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Lithuania | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Latvia | 58c | 29.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Latvia | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Latvia | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Lithuania | 68c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.