TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Heat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof 76ers, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$416,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed 76ers15c66,277$9,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,718.674533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed 76ers15c30,797$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.5228341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed 76ers12c22,267$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.277451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed 76ers21c19,008$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.4510357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat80c16,686$13,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed 76ers15c15,214$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.1428241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers15c10,160$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers12c9,597$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.451,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed 76ers15c7,646$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.95940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Heat74c7,587$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.61,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked 76ers14c5,358$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.0946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked 76ers16c5,249$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.917348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked 76ers12c3,649$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed 76ers22c3,428$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed 76ers12c3,292$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers12c2,707$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Heat72c2,204$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.559450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked 76ers16c2,147$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4525536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers12c2,019$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed 76ers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked 76ers11c1,511$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.252015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed 76ers14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked 76ers14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d92…83efbacked 76ers20c1,406$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.711631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed 76ers13c1,400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers5c1,364$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers2c1,220$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9731125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked 76ers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers14c999.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed 76ers11c980.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.864918.4%9 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked 76ers16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ee…3b13backed 76ers11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe266…7f63backed 76ers14c849.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.31618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed 76ers15c823.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed 76ers7c804.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1337011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers13c787.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers4c713.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Heat6c701.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.695502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed 76ers18c670.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b8…976cbacked 76ers15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed 76ers16c643.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed 76ers16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers14c551.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Heat77c495.72$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c04…424bbacked 76ers15c366.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed 76ers28c351.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed 76ers4c321.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Heat76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed 76ers11c289.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.081434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers11c284.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2526933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed 76ers34c282.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.955339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…c799backed 76ers15c280.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed 76ers15c265.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe980…0800backed 76ers11c263.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked 76ers12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304734%16 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers13c227.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.852,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Heat69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.26651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d3…d80ebacked 76ers11c190.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x651a…b34cbacked 76ers15c166.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed 76ers12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked 76ers30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Heat76c164.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5529450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed 76ers13c161.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…5427backed 76ers15c146.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed 76ers18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed 76ers11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ed…58a1backed 76ers30c132.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Heat78c129.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8730061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed 76ers21c118.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8142740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd49…cae9backed 76ers11c110.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed 76ers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed 76ers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035235.2%124 W · 228 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked 76ers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked 76ers11c99.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed 76ers21c96.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.237350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Heat78c95.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da1…53ffbacked 76ers22c91.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed 76ers23c87.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024846.4%115 W · 133 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb731…00dcbacked 76ers14c81.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed 76ers29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…2dfcbacked Heat70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1820847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed 76ers18c56.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510152.5%53 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Heat68c51.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5695848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Heat76c45.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.933639%131 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca83…748fbacked Heat70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.867261.1%44 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Heat80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Heat66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d2…9696backed Heat73c17.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.