NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77734ccbafdbbc41118791d57eba1ca3a42bf4bc70431a17d145bd9f8623f468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Heat | 41c | 107,963$44,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,799.95 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 61c | 24,322$14,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…faa2backed Heat | 50c | 23,370$11,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 76c | 21,453$16,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…a7a2backed Bulls | 50c | 18,800$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 46c | 18,596$8,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,114.83 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bulls | 45c | 15,328$6,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.08 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Heat | 16c | 11,243$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.39 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 55c | 10,305$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.75 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 28c | 7,016$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.18 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 5c | 5,322$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 64c | 4,995$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bulls | 45c | 4,864$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.39 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 44c | 4,777$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.79 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…111cbacked Bulls | 49c | 4,570$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bulls | 77c | 4,208$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.42 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Heat | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 50c | 3,649$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.38 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.83 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Bulls | 72c | 3,372$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 36c | 3,133$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Heat | 21c | 2,248$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls | 46c | 2,063$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.73 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Heat | 1c | 2,062$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 50c | 1,870$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Bulls | 44c | 1,723$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 41c | 1,683$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.67 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,284$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.82 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Heat | 62c | 1,152$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.68 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…2000backed Heat | 10c | 1,113$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Heat | 12c | 1,080$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 53c | 1,060$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls | 44c | 1,037$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.74 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 47c | 1,018$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.67 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 42c | 959.51$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.44 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 43c | 891.57$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 53c | 837.93$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 3c | 825$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bulls | 64c | 807.71$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls | 45c | 761$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.55 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…f10cbacked Heat | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 49c | 649.96$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…331dbacked Heat | 65c | 616.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 38c | 582.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fba…9a42backed Heat | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bulls | 41c | 554$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heat | 12c | 547.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Heat | 17c | 522.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Heat | 10c | 514.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Heat | 57c | 500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bulls | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Bulls | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Bulls | 66c | 454.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Heat | 29c | 426.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bulls | 42c | 410$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 25c | 403.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bulls | 54c | 389.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Bulls | 78c | 365.83$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…519abacked Bulls | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 42c | 336.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Bulls | 32c | 305.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bulls | 46c | 300.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Heat | 58c | 240$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Heat | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 70c | 223.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…a3b2backed Heat | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 24c | 220$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bulls | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Bulls | 78c | 213.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 45c | 212.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…2588backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Bulls | 49c | 203.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 45c | 200.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Bulls | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…6b92backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Heat | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…2a2bbacked Bulls | 49c | 198.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 47c | 197.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…6952backed Heat | 51c | 194.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Heat | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…d1a7backed Heat | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Bulls | 41c | 188$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Heat | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.