TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c46…3779backed Islanders54c28,821$15,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,563.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebb…ea5cbacked Rangers46c28,821$13,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,563.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Rangers48c13,600$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.842737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders52c6,774$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.2592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Islanders54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24013754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Islanders53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders15c4,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Rangers48c3,866$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.4213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders53c3,363$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.411,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Rangers46c2,554$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers46c2,125$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.141,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Islanders55c2,014$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Rangers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Rangers46c1,876$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.0430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Islanders54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed Islanders54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c85…cfecbacked Islanders54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers46c1,247$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4619555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers46c1,183$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.727361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e78…6c4cbacked Rangers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Islanders54c1,053$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.195534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x145a…032fbacked Islanders54c1,043$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers47c1,026$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers46c1,017$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.0884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Islanders51c980.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8223642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9f…35ccbacked Rangers49c780$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…9402backed Islanders51c780$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Islanders53c668.11$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Rangers46c477.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8729748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Islanders55c434.22$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8235349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Islanders55c432$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.782536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders52c373.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.051,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Rangers46c291.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4420649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Rangers46c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Islanders54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders52c221.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rangers46c217.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Rangers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers46c194.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ac…0ac3backed Islanders53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders30c154.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.673,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1738…aaf6backed Islanders54c154.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers46c148.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9439752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Rangers69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.936454.7%35 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x848a…53dabacked Islanders54c125.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.872157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Rangers51c122.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8197955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6689…17acbacked Rangers48c122.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.452050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b0…4705backed Rangers50c119$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3df…ae85backed Islanders50c119$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3825…8cdebacked Rangers50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65f…0dd6backed Islanders50c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df4…2b7bbacked Rangers50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa448…7585backed Islanders50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785a…6b22backed Rangers46c113.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc61…d7c7backed Islanders50c113$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…be96backed Rangers50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec30…5d1cbacked Islanders50c113$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ac…885fbacked Rangers50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…465dbacked Rangers47c111.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc859…f975backed Rangers50c111$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67c…02bdbacked Islanders50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…b276backed Rangers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0625…6e5fbacked Islanders50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…fa16backed Rangers47c106.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.392142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x302d…cc46backed Rangers49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d5…68b7backed Islanders51c106$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…ee04backed Islanders54c103$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d1…a7bebacked Rangers46c103$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…2e84backed Rangers48c102.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.541573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Islanders52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…0db2backed Rangers46c98.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac8…8a4fbacked Rangers47c93.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.812236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe08…3361backed Islanders55c93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61cf…170ebacked Rangers50c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…fba0backed Rangers45c93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bc…dcdbbacked Islanders50c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf19…8dcebacked Rangers46c91.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcc…b622backed Islanders55c91.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e5…61b6backed Islanders55c89.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…c6bcbacked Islanders55c88.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…9d17backed Rangers49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d5…c4f0backed Islanders51c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939e…c40ebacked Islanders54c86.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbebe…b4debacked Islanders53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…9f6bbacked Rangers47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a79…8a67backed Islanders55c84.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd46…5b10backed Islanders54c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aed…5b0dbacked Rangers46c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa1…345fbacked Rangers46c81.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…7d7abacked Islanders50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a3…541fbacked Rangers50c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c8…81fcbacked Islanders53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x684e…f01dbacked Rangers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.