TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6689…17ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.27
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$77.89
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+142.9%+$83.47
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.48
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.7
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.02
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$36.38
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$38.74
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.52
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.56
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$21.1
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.43
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$19.91
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.99
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.65
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.7
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.33
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$63.45
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$24.06
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.93
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.54
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.4
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$42.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.