MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81e5b482a610e72ff751c1c8251627f079de35573e7ef4202ad3963e5f9c5f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0062…6cf7backed Nationals | 36c | 9,997$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…ad79backed Braves | 64c | 9,997$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals | 53c | 5,714$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.97 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 56c | 3,395$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves | 23c | 2,100$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1f64backed Nationals | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 61c | 1,940$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.41 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…d3a2backed Nationals | 37c | 1,865$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.95 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 62c | 1,818$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…f05fbacked Nationals | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 52c | 1,634$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.33 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Braves | 23c | 1,221$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 37c | 1,149$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…2086backed Braves | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves | 62c | 999.95$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 37c | 999.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.9 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Braves | 63c | 937$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Braves | 63c | 928$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Braves | 65c | 923$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Braves | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Braves | 22c | 893.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…4ac5backed Braves | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves | 62c | 720.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.01 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Nationals | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves | 61c | 608.2$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Braves | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Braves | 49c | 509.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Braves | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Braves | 35c | 455.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 38c | 422.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Braves | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Braves | 53c | 275$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 36c | 203.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Nationals | 65c | 197.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 30c | 178.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Braves | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Braves | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nationals | 68c | 154.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 54c | 144.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…8cedbacked Nationals | 38c | 141.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…b635backed Nationals | 38c | 140.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…0791backed Nationals | 38c | 135.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Nationals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a67cbacked Nationals | 38c | 125.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 58c | 121.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Nationals | 37c | 113.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 36c | 112.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Braves | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Braves | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Nationals | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Nationals | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…2d67backed Nationals | 38c | 99.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…e998backed Braves | 63c | 93.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Braves | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ca…50d6backed Braves | 63c | 87.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d5d0backed Nationals | 38c | 86.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…ed7abacked Braves | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…dddabacked Braves | 64c | 84.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…0f61backed Nationals | 38c | 83.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…7b3fbacked Braves | 63c | 82.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…c71ebacked Braves | 64c | 82.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…3aa5backed Braves | 63c | 82.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…55a6backed Braves | 63c | 80.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…d038backed Braves | 64c | 80.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 49c | 80.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…b443backed Braves | 63c | 79.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Nationals | 38c | 78.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Braves | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…c0b2backed Braves | 63c | 77.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…d5dabacked Nationals | 38c | 76.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1a…ceaebacked Nationals | 38c | 76.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…85c3backed Braves | 63c | 75.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…c588backed Nationals | 38c | 75.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…dc36backed Braves | 63c | 74.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…17e5backed Nationals | 38c | 73.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…fe4bbacked Braves | 64c | 70.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Nationals | 37c | 70.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…17acbacked Braves | 63c | 68.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…e09cbacked Nationals | 38c | 64.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Nationals | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0701backed Braves | 63c | 63.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…3338backed Braves | 64c | 59.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Braves | 65c | 50.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 61c | 47.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Nationals | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…32a2backed Nationals | 38c | 43.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…981dbacked Nationals | 37c | 40.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.