TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$430,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Kings15c72,182$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6004533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Clippers80c22,510$18,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings14c21,510$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.9112938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Kings0c20,474$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7636423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers80c16,719$13,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.921,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Clippers80c13,243$10,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.477451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Kings24c8,470$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Clippers62c5,487$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.6923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Clippers71c5,482$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.9636057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Kings20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings19c4,826$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.131,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers80c4,650$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.5928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings24c4,307$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Kings19c3,691$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Kings31c3,556$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.5928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…ae48backed Kings29c3,464$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Clippers71c3,207$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.067447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings24c2,616$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Clippers80c2,506$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.638962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Kings22c2,390$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings2c2,271$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.778783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Kings19c2,141$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0731125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…c3fbbacked Kings20c2,086$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Clippers69c2,009$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Kings31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings30c1,837$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Clippers70c1,791$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2729643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings20c1,782$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Clippers70c1,748$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.416563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings30c1,735$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3928241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c1,650$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked Kings31c1,508$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…cd8cbacked Clippers69c1,505$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Kings22c1,503$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0312232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Clippers70c1,394$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0813345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings30c1,356$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Kings10c1,200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings1c1,048$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.845502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Kings35c1,045$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6438143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Kings17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…4623backed Kings20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.761030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Clippers71c920.83$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.043145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Clippers67c901.13$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1321450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7e…54ddbacked Kings28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings12c863$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kings21c756.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Clippers69c719.35$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22326049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Clippers77c705.84$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Kings7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Kings31c623.61$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1329450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers67c576.85$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Kings19c549.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3111753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kings30c548.15$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4533348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Clippers72c505.28$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9823554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Kings30c499.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings29c462.63$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fb…60d1backed Clippers70c462.24$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.672055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Kings22c453.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7712941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kings26c447.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.214052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Kings6c434.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers73c417.77$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.825865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Clippers74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4111340.7%46 W · 67 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Kings29c405$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4510428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1718…6d49backed Kings19c402.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.951435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers72c387.33$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Kings28c361.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings27c360$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kings31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Clippers70c319.57$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.872445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3a…aad9backed Kings16c316.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings18c315.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Kings32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Clippers74c308.33$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Clippers76c304.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6127348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Clippers73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8130251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Clippers80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6070153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Clippers68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Clippers68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Kings33c267.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Kings27c261.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.239843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Kings22c249.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.851225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers70c242.64$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Clippers69c226.84$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3219943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings28c221.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Kings28c212.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0933746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Kings13c204.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kings31c203.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8110345.6%47 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Clippers70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Clippers69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6230243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6fd…fdfebacked Kings30c187$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings29c173.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.772,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ad…f5efbacked Kings18c162.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.