NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b03b677619e9d96acf5312648d5fb81c2f16df4a461486a26fa3726662233e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hornets | 10c | 21,618$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.6 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 1c | 14,910$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 11c | 10,150$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Hornets | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Hornets | 10c | 5,818$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets | 9c | 5,225$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 11c | 5,205$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets | 12c | 3,764$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.34 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hornets | 11c | 3,514$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 16c | 3,342$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.85 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets | 10c | 2,186$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hornets | 5c | 2,098$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Hornets | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 10c | 1,580$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 10c | 1,569$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Hornets | 13c | 1,541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 10c | 1,328$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Hornets | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 3c | 800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets | 9c | 699$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 5c | 570$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hornets | 10c | 510.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Hornets | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Hornets | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets | 10c | 483$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Hornets | 11c | 307.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 10c | 222.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Hornets | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…d01dbacked Hornets | 13c | 180.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hornets | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Hornets | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…c4d8backed Hornets | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…bb88backed Hornets | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9185backed Hornets | 12c | 101.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…30b4backed Hornets | 11c | 100.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Hornets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hornets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Hornets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.