NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1ea27227c3724fa7a160b22f82e7785ac85e250ead934944d207dd380834d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bulls, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 14c | 58,893$8,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.67 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 9c | 28,809$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.9 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bulls | 14c | 21,334$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Bulls | 14c | 20,461$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.77 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bulls | 2c | 19,248$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Bulls | 10c | 15,120$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.97 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 14c | 10,007$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.62 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bulls | 4c | 10,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 9,843$7,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Bulls | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 1c | 7,051$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bulls | 10c | 6,138$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 4c | 3,828$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 15c | 3,385$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Bulls | 9c | 3,318$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Bulls | 8c | 3,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…dba4backed Bulls | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bulls | 8c | 2,735$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 4c | 2,544$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 16c | 2,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 2,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 15c | 2,398$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…e5c2backed Bulls | 25c | 2,368$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Bulls | 0c | 2,145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Bulls | 12c | 2,072$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 10c | 1,767$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Bulls | 13c | 1,648$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bulls | 16c | 1,200$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Bulls | 18c | 1,194$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…d4c3backed Bulls | 35c | 1,149$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Bulls | 12c | 1,126$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 10c | 1,005$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls | 7c | 875$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…8385backed Bulls | 17c | 815.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 6c | 805.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 10c | 670.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 66c | 554.11$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 15c | 501.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bulls | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Bulls | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Bulls | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bulls | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bulls | 15c | 482.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bulls | 14c | 465.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Bulls | 26c | 454.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 13c | 443.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Bulls | 12c | 417.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Bulls | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 14c | 384.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Cavaliers | 75c | 357.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…0ccdbacked Bulls | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls | 13c | 335.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls | 17c | 309$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…4a73backed Bulls | 17c | 308.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Bulls | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…7c87backed Bulls | 18c | 233.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…d98bbacked Bulls | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bulls | 13c | 199.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bulls | 10c | 178.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…cde6backed Bulls | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…dbecbacked Bulls | 17c | 155.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Bulls | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Bulls | 17c | 129.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Bulls | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Bulls | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…79a3backed Bulls | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Bulls | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…6437backed Bulls | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Bulls | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…733cbacked Bulls | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7890…8a9bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Bulls | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Bulls | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…1e23backed Bulls | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bulls | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Bulls | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 85.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Bulls | 16c | 69.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…3f38backed Bulls | 16c | 62.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed Bulls | 19c | 57.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.