TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Panthers, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Red Wings50c64,520$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,519.92737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa85…1301backed Panthers52c21,949$11,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,413.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Panthers49c19,264$9,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,453.7113845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers50c16,584$8,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,220.892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings48c15,039$7,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,853.736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers50c15,025$7,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,562.5319555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fa…1e2cbacked Red Wings48c11,481$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,968.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings48c11,079$5,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.1631546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers52c10,899$5,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.4632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec6…f169backed Red Wings48c10,590$5,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Red Wings48c10,037$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.228749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers53c9,725$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.9930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Panthers52c8,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14011145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Red Wings55c7,275$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.964151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers51c6,264$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.8811354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers52c4,725$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers51c3,914$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.871,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers51c2,700$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers48c2,515$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.0472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers50c2,032$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.491,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Red Wings48c2,009$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Panthers52c2,009$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.4585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Panthers52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Panthers52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Red Wings48c1,920$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Red Wings48c1,920$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Panthers52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Panthers52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Red Wings48c1,920$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa08f…87f3backed Red Wings48c1,920$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers49c1,912$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.271,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers52c1,910$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Panthers48c1,896$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.286341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x262c…9439backed Red Wings47c1,557$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.215100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc4e…5767backed Panthers53c1,557$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers49c1,547$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd673…0c20backed Panthers52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Panthers52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b93…ee1cbacked Red Wings48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Red Wings48c1,485$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers49c1,181$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4912backed Red Wings48c1,053$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3db…ff3abacked Panthers52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Red Wings58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.489750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers52c829$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.0875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers42c557.18$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.31,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Red Wings56c520$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.514650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings58c432.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7610147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers38c421.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings59c380.57$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Panthers8c376.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.115429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Panthers45c366$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.74729.8%14 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Red Wings55c363.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.478052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers53c333.6$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6919848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Panthers47c330$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Panthers54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Panthers46c270$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0320942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Panthers12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Panthers52c232.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.984548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Panthers46c221$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7758346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Red Wings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10410546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Panthers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Panthers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Red Wings58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cf…6d85backed Red Wings48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff91…6786backed Panthers52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Panthers51c160.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Panthers52c139$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8613043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Panthers49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.828440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x035a…a69dbacked Panthers53c116$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc987…bfe4backed Red Wings47c116$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…f192backed Panthers53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…2e31backed Red Wings46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…e4e7backed Panthers54c114$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa643…ee06backed Red Wings47c114$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers51c110.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfd…a10abacked Red Wings48c109.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e0a…a6f6backed Panthers54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…e041backed Red Wings46c109$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…98d5backed Panthers52c108$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847b…bae4backed Red Wings49c103.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3d…bdbbbacked Panthers53c103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a4…c620backed Red Wings47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf516…5d47backed Panthers53c103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34af…2a78backed Red Wings47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfc…ec79backed Red Wings48c100.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Panthers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…48d1backed Red Wings54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb41…6ebebacked Panthers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15aa…d0b5backed Red Wings49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Panthers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Panthers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Red Wings77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Panthers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cb…0b34backed Panthers53c99.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…c6e1backed Panthers53c99.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.