Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a904eb2ebe649630cdc2c74d536150233e0d3f023a2986824bd3ff2f862920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 68c | 32,942$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,441.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 20c | 28,724$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.72 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 72c | 8,004$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 66c | 1,145$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 40c | 1,021$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.85 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Yes | 66c | 800$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 68c | 736.76$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 77c | 673.03$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 68c | 584.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 31c | 419.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 43c | 415.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 71c | 373.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 30c | 300.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 15c | 289.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 286.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 74c | 260$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 49c | 245.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Yes | 71c | 196.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…3418backed Yes | 26c | 185$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d8a5backed Yes | 26c | 175$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…2ec9backed Yes | 26c | 155$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…162abacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…e835backed No | 74c | 130$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…3e31backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 96.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…1775backed Yes | 64c | 89.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 15c | 77.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 50c | 75.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…bf84backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…6584backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…bd13backed Yes | 28c | 72.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 29c | 69.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 80c | 69.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 66c | 67.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 63.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bf7ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2a20backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 41.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 73c | 32.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Yes | 69c | 30.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 27.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked No | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes | 47c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…e634backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…e780backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 61c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?No won
- Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.