TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Jets47c40,341$18,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,415.2336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Stars55c18,339$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars54c9,016$4,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.813845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Stars53c4,616$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.5983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars53c2,645$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.311,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Stars53c2,044$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.8730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets43c2,036$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.761,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Stars52c2,011$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.712245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Stars53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0604763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Jets48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jets47c1,758$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.517361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Stars35c1,407$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.445534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars52c1,246$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.0749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd122…4e82backed Stars56c1,167$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…6613backed Jets44c1,167$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets78c1,140$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Stars53c1,076$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.2835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets68c1,058$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7efa…acbebacked Stars52c1,021$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b58…f374backed Jets48c1,021$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Stars53c993.15$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3731753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Stars52c876$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.526850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars54c852.58$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets45c828.51$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars54c799.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars55c716$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Stars15c663.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.889550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jets70c616.06$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars51c609.98$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6c…623dbacked Jets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Stars52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Stars52c352.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Stars53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars10c232.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…c0adbacked Jets48c227.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f0…af27backed Stars53c227.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Stars53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Stars16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Jets48c208.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Stars53c205.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0119848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0824945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa929…1baabacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d8…ddfcbacked Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac41…21b2backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…61febacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67c…f843backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc234…74b2backed Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2cd…fb96backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…53f2backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…fdb3backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe920…7289backed Jets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…0932backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe413…7760backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb709…3b5cbacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+58.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7db3…384ebacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d82…f177backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5000…b74abacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91d5…d0aabacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…4f35backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c5…57a3backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x352f…c76cbacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe73…265dbacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…1b99backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…4c54backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d5…8aedbacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb8…fa6cbacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…59fabacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…fd96backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…e036backed Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6966…e8bdbacked Jets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe712…54f7backed Jets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53b…3f0bbacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…09f0backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb086…bfb4backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x177f…7c0ebacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc55a…bdfebacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e94…54f5backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ea…1a93backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57f3…f1fabacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b3…fd84backed Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…06e6backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fa…4e42backed Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf62…a6f5backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xede0…5cfbbacked Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9240…8e7ebacked Jets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b3a…e758backed Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9090…77bbbacked Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb4e…f72bbacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb260…3c13backed Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd898…f294backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3228…1c0dbacked Jets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf5…f172backed Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642475%18 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c8e…9b9bbacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc007…770ebacked Jets68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642382.6%19 W · 4 L+7.6wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+77.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.