TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-02-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes0c53,273$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2714062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes49c28,032$13,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,789.183551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No51c11,086$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.2340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No54c9,734$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480.1832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c8,017$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.8879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes42c5,200$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1982860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0a…cadfbacked No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…aa14backed Yes21c4,677$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes47c2,089$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.694252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No60c1,306$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.6938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes49c1,087$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.223545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes1c936.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c757.4$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No63c731.46$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No68c717.4$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.574362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes49c682.12$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked No53c466.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.034555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed No75c423.44$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.862330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes47c333$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.511631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No51c294$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383b…93c2backed Yes48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No61c230$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0f55…0f1bbacked No53c226.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd452…03e0backed Yes50c217.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed Yes49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No53c154.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No53c149.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.984645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.618260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes52c143.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.831464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…bcefbacked Yes45c133.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc51…dcdabacked Yes48c127.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe917…5919backed Yes16c125.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-53.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes47c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.154953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes49c122.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9926054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c15…a488backed No53c121.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No76c104.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3e…9032backed Yes49c101.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f1…fe6bbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes46c99.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No53c93.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d1…b373backed Yes48c93.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes47c85.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8989…3164backed Yes46c75.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3700…51f9backed Yes43c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c65.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes47c60.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.013534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3567…decfbacked Yes46c58.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No54c57.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1742755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac4…e637backed No55c46.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes48c44.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079d…3737backed Yes48c44.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa193…9659backed Yes48c44.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54b…44afbacked No52c42.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes47c42.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ab…2f36backed Yes47c42.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…e0cfbacked No53c42.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…88d6backed Yes48c41.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d6…f8cfbacked Yes46c41.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9d…dbdebacked No54c41.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6b…883cbacked No52c41.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefe1…4a08backed No54c40.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce1…c498backed Yes46c40.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8993…7982backed No54c40.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b5…b1e0backed Yes48c39.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd07…d038backed Yes48c39.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d55…add4backed Yes46c38.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd580…0789backed No54c38.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…f7acbacked No58c37.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.