Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba438c5026af4a4b4b44b1492f8eab45dc9e4256cbd4a4a4b82a20e8d1416f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 0c | 33,831$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 78c | 6,426$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.19 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 22c | 5,760$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.33 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed No | 78c | 4,599$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 4,106$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.42 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,217$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 23c | 2,200$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 24c | 1,953$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 23c | 645.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 500.74$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 23c | 410.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes | 26c | 382.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 24c | 355$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…815ebacked Yes | 30c | 329.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 76c | 325.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 77c | 148.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 30c | 120.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 24c | 110.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed No | 77c | 83.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…40c0backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-02-02?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.