TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x025e…0420backed Yes64c8,667$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.021637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No36c3,135$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.458652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9828355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No38c2,192$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8410650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked No37c2,159$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.6210848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No37c1,250$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.55450%27 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c1,164$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38017945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Yes61c764.78$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes62c750$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.832045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c685.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No37c588.32$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes64c504.45$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb24c…c868backed No38c473.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed No39c447$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.333551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a20…101cbacked No12c416$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6783…2179backed Yes62c388.63$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.77366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc5…38d9backed No38c383.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.693036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes62c378.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.028734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff25…1738backed Yes34c336.21$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.732462.5%15 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+211.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No36c335.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.943951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe484…7c7abacked No71c331.62$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.551330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391a…5179backed No38c309.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed No37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No37c298.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x025c…b4b4backed Yes62c275$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0714057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8594…bdc4backed Yes61c246$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes64c234.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.847256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes52c232.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.027034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde70…0039backed No40c217.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab2…6435backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…b273backed Yes61c196$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed No79c194.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes72c190.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf135…6fa0backed Yes62c189.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No37c178.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a6…6440backed Yes62c161.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…366cbacked Yes63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…8839backed No37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes51c140.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.963836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ad…f10cbacked No37c135.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes49c133.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.862441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4467…6a75backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22bf…782dbacked Yes62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes64c115.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc572…a942backed No38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb115…502bbacked Yes62c84.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3676…c975backed Yes64c84.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No58c84.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5e…4efcbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1318260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…e521backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f4…f9f7backed Yes43c66.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…e3cebacked Yes62c65.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Yes62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes65c54.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.039750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1916060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes32c49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…c433backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6229146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeea…76b9backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3622…0a4fbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes62c43.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.592070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e87…79c0backed Yes64c43.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes65c42.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes63c40.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.156747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4a…d87abacked No40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes64c32.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e05…d3bfbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed No38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff4a…c832backed Yes61c31.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85050%25 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356b…8e09backed No40c25.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714e…9031backed No40c25.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca9…38a3backed Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…fb87backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa4d…0badbacked Yes56c19.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7276backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0711…19a1backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6314643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…a200backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…9aecbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f49…5ee1backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46f…f144backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.