TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No35c9,098$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,875.0940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes30c3,394$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.479361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No37c3,389$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.3928355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No34c2,855$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.9210650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c2,287$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.2831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe338…5760backed Yes58c1,540$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaff2…7ecabacked Yes65c1,300$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes61c1,154$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe17c…6925backed No37c1,139$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.21741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes63c999.97$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.988145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes62c996.77$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6188646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc27…a69dbacked No35c990.09$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No68c964.26$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6425329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588c…f9c0backed Yes66c838.58$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes66c825.53$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.852853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes63c632.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be0…acb3backed Yes43c608.92$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes66c605.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.917256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8115554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0e…2033backed Yes67c492.84$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x872c…a7d9backed Yes56c485.3$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…61b3backed Yes66c454.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes43c452.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…44afbacked Yes68c448.79$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.583043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51cb…6314backed No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes6c349$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9612149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No36c303.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.599943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Yes62c282.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed No36c277.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes65c276.91$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.86747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b3…3af6backed Yes67c271.67$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…852dbacked Yes66c247.27$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Yes71c241.93$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.932330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked No35c233.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.533953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6359…1562backed Yes67c213.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed No69c195.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.873961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x120f…1466backed Yes65c184.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes65c184.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d0…f4f0backed Yes65c158.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9d1…032ebacked Yes66c152.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf9…00bcbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c9…5769backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes66c151$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.662454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1782…d913backed Yes64c150.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes65c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x649f…83a3backed No35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ac…bd03backed No36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick39cpaid+128.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe08e…838fbacked No36c137.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes66c136.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x573d…77aebacked Yes67c112.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da8…04d3backed No31c104.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fff…10d5backed Yes59c102.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6514450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422a…fe4dbacked Yes66c86.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…c40dbacked Yes66c82.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bf…91bfbacked No35c82.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No33c81.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7913652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c4…e681backed No35c78.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb389…abf8backed Yes66c78.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes66c75.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36e7…e3a1backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb612…a5a7backed No35c75.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x435c…5762backed Yes65c74.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f4…ebaebacked Yes66c70.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Yes66c67.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4154…d35bbacked Yes65c63.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes66c61.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed Yes66c60.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes66c60.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa51…ebcdbacked Yes66c59.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6597…895dbacked Yes66c54.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…898abacked Yes65c53.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…edfabacked Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f29…19f0backed Yes66c51.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2916060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No44c46.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.136752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe436…b99ebacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…e4b6backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07a…2ceabacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.