Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62787f2d2c33bc88aa452fc660f76e5915d87413dd93b8e80f182c1308fe00a5

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $359,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	5c	25,661$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.44	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	15c	12,146$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.38	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	11,666$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	0c	9,892$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	4c	7,738$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.02	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	5c	7,233$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.24	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd712…228dbacked Yes	2c	4,521$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.01	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	4,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes	9c	3,947$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.24	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes	1c	3,864$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	4c	3,834$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.02	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	14c	3,747$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.24	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8574…54babacked Yes	0c	3,473$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Yes	2c	3,371$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.87	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	12c	3,209$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.64	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	11c	2,925$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.97	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	2,915$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	2,800$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee85…7777backed Yes	0c	2,781$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099e…8e52backed Yes	8c	2,580$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	50	2%1 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d9…e579backed Yes	5c	2,576$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.05	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed Yes	14c	2,302$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	12c	2,290$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.74	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	14c	2,139$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.97	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5d…6be6backed Yes	14c	2,130$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.17	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	11c	1,883$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.76	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c81…c62dbacked Yes	14c	1,773$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x108f…73e3backed Yes	8c	1,745$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.13	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Yes	4c	1,743$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	12c	1,700$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	12c	1,668$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.41	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	9c	1,664$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.61	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	8c	1,600$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	17c	1,582$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.46	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	11c	1,542$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.81	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	12c	1,528$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.72	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	1,502$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.32	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	10c	1,400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes	15c	1,298$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51f9…603dbacked Yes	1c	1,269$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	13c	1,184$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.29	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	14c	1,170$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	9c	1,116$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…3b8dbacked Yes	4c	1,066$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	13c	1,056$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.61	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	14c	1,056$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.49	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377e…a9d3backed Yes	17c	1,048$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Yes	14c	1,006$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.25	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	13c	1,000$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.2	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	15c	940.01$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.61	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	14c	907.8$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.8	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes	14c	849$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.19	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	12c	822.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…c5a1backed Yes	15c	733.71$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Yes	12c	710.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.32	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes	15c	663.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	11c	660$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc333…466fbacked Yes	11c	636.36$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Yes	16c	616.81$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.69	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…5c45backed No	80c	616$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaef7…5ccbbacked Yes	20c	616$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	13c	608.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	13c	604.95$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	12c	601.5$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4633…60c1backed Yes	17c	598.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes	13c	587.28$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Yes	12c	575.67$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.46	179	20.7%37 W · 142 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	13c	554.43$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.08	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Yes	14c	541.8$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yes	12c	510.29$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.23	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	11c	503$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fea…4ed2backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e7…5d19backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…f23abacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	5c	492$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a5…735fbacked Yes	14c	486.34$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x974c…53d8backed Yes	10c	470$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ba…ac5bbacked Yes	16c	470$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2793…ccedbacked Yes	10c	464.52$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4470…d1fdbacked Yes	7c	449.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	15c	432.67$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.63	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	14c	427.82$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes	3c	413.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	12c	405.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	12c	399.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e7…0af7backed Yes	13c	392.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	16c	383.26$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.51	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x078a…d3edbacked Yes	12c	361.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Yes	5c	356.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.84	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Yes	15c	350$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+636.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07a4…fd85backed Yes	9c	350$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x692a…e5f1backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…c821backed Yes	15c	327.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7704…a121backed Yes	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?this page
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event