Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat West Ham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32eed5806f4230f206d4e52a4713ac33879e94090afee421701c5c3a8820da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 51c | 2,597$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.7 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 53c | 2,124$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.7 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 14c | 1,147$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.08 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 955.73$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.31 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed No | 53c | 950$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 47c | 632.77$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…a3f0backed Yes | 48c | 608.59$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 51c | 464.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…3db0backed No | 53c | 379.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…ca9abacked No | 54c | 220.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 77c | 213.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 36c | 187.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 36c | 168.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 47c | 151.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 52c | 137.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…5710backed Yes | 49c | 108.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…a28abacked No | 52c | 103.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 49c | 81.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…16f2backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed No | 52c | 57.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed Yes | 54c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 48c | 52.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…b99ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 49c | 38.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Yes | 49c | 37.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…ec7ebacked No | 53c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…454dbacked Yes | 49c | 31.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…edf7backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…1856backed Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…511fbacked Yes | 49c | 24.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat West Ham?this page
- Will West Ham beat Chelsea?No won
- Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.