Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham beat Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e26b7ffdc356ade3de5ca9b65d007291dc315b28ca8e64ce271627bc6e585d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 2,627$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 72c | 1,490$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,482$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 74c | 1,474$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,123$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 15c | 936.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 28c | 910.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 27c | 739.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 73c | 736.71$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed Yes | 29c | 533.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Yes | 26c | 175.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…f9f7backed Yes | 19c | 124.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…8a63backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…1bd2backed Yes | 28c | 42.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…d6a7backed No | 73c | 41.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…1953backed No | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…b2c2backed Yes | 28c | 40.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed Yes | 28c | 40.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked No | 73c | 38.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed No | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked No | 73c | 28.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked No | 74c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…4ed0backed No | 73c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…da74backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham beat Chelsea?this page
- Will Chelsea beat West Ham?Yes won
- Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.