Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Southampton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8e9f651cc6632e046c45dd5644ba3f785fe4f75aea55677e68d69e94aaa225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 43c | 10,190$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.45 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.92 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,048$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.58 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…0c21backed Yes | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 43c | 1,393$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.19 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Yes | 57c | 1,208$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 7c | 907.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 56c | 903.57$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 57c | 651.58$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…3c8bbacked Yes | 57c | 622.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…7405backed No | 44c | 454.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…eba8backed Yes | 56c | 445.26$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…471bbacked No | 44c | 432.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 57c | 403.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…00a3backed Yes | 56c | 379.73$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…5b5fbacked Yes | 57c | 357.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 45c | 349.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed No | 45c | 321$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 57c | 315.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 12c | 304.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…87e7backed No | 44c | 269.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…7852backed Yes | 57c | 182.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f7d3backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Yes | 57c | 177.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…8b52backed Yes | 57c | 175.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 136.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 43c | 110.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…d3dfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 56c | 92.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Yes | 57c | 84.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 56c | 79.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 56c | 71.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…15a2backed Yes | 56c | 61.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…08b3backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…a50ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f3…37f0backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 57c | 43.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…526abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 57c | 33.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 55c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…5250backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…6d59backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…1b9fbacked Yes | 56c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…ee1ebacked Yes | 56c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Yes | 57c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Southampton?this page
- Will Southampton beat Manchester United?No won
- Will Southampton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.