NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759e31f4460348296b7b2603bc6d9a9500bfe82d3a6724421da8b9a518b163e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Trail Blazers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 57,278$16,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,840.86 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Celtics | 71c | 52,629$37,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,177.85 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 12,440$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 7,474$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.31 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Celtics | 78c | 7,350$5,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.27 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 78c | 6,440$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.79 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 77c | 6,300$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 5,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 5,112$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.29 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 4,975$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.32 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 4,455$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.37 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 4,099$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.76 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Celtics | 77c | 4,051$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.61 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 75c | 3,568$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.82 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 3,470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 3,371$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…863ebacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 3,348$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 3,000$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.84 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 2,957$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,852$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.43 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,640$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.01 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,604$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,465$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,461$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 74c | 2,413$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.07 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 2,059$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,946$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.98 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,903$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 78c | 1,705$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 76c | 1,416$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,352$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4f92backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 1,325$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,309$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,252$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics | 74c | 1,166$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.14 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Celtics | 76c | 1,107$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,057$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,036$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 964.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 78c | 895$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 886.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 874.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 872.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 791.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 78c | 769.06$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 757.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 757.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf415…9ff8backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…2daabacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 730.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…a0c1backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 730$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Celtics | 79c | 721.52$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…2ce5backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 712.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Celtics | 78c | 711.54$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…8ebdbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 710$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe75…f86fbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 704$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…972abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Celtics | 78c | 699.9$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…16afbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 695.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…3ac0backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 690$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…f17ebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 688.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…a726backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 685$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…cb0bbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 683.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…071abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 678$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Celtics | 79c | 649.95$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…5387backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 645$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e1…dd17backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 638.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…1e81backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 637.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Celtics | 79c | 614.02$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 76c | 511$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Celtics | 75c | 505.74$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…72f9backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Celtics | 79c | 498.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…7a38backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 476.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…17b9backed Celtics | 80c | 475$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 469$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…18e9backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 461$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 78c | 455.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Celtics | 74c | 454.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Celtics | 77c | 399.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 367.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 80c | 344.64$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 344.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 318.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 312$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.