TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x178e…76f7backed No34c24,848$8,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,448.242231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes66c15,665$10,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.16953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c14,535$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.0979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes69c14,506$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.42556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes70c14,000$9,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.917448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No34c8,280$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.163333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No30c7,751$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.7911454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No28c6,300$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.4979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes67c5,894$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.412450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c5,055$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No37c4,104$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.4938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes66c3,329$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.713551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No31c3,034$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.0313857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.181580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes66c2,925$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.562733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No31c2,914$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.0124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No26c2,373$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.5620744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes59c2,008$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.2228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes71c1,710$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.193060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes68c1,605$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No4c1,427$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.935413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes72c1,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0112053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No29c1,200$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes67c1,018$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.983119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes69c1,006$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes70c1,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes68c1,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9234643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No33c981.47$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes62c845.92$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5518433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes66c818.02$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.134339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes77c787$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7916851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes60c738.85$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes72c591.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.675358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9511855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No30c502.69$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.161,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes69c495.71$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.722060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes66c479$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.869355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes67c471$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Yes66c430.69$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.444143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No33c372.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes67c333.83$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.842240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No34c314.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No30c302.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2352060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.519037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7813449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9711052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes69c256.52$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes74c230.42$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.316248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes68c217.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5323350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1036…7defbacked Yes68c204.88$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No32c185$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No33c158.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5229653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…1c4bbacked Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…216cbacked No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes71c147.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.645740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes66c144.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes70c143.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3a…544fbacked No33c137.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd4…853dbacked Yes67c135.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No28c124.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes59c120.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.271741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No31c115.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4118752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes67c105.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9742862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.487341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+86.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No31c94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed No34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd14f…186ebacked No28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes66c77.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes67c77.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4913149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7612252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes67c74.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3825637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes66c71.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1618232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Yes72c69.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes73c68.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes67c66.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.952360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No32c60.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163c…2af1backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.