NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933314d76f2d519a940a18709e780b424e27b106590b65f76416af1ac8ba63bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Heat, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Heat | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 19c | 28,672$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 31c | 11,722$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Heat | 14c | 11,418$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.99 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 9,952$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.2 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 9,675$7,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.1 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 32c | 7,800$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 28c | 6,151$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 4,029$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.81 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Heat | 30c | 3,675$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Heat | 32c | 3,438$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.16 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 33c | 3,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 68c | 3,003$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.57 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Heat | 20c | 2,618$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.59 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 31c | 2,418$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.65 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 5c | 2,314$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 2,000$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Heat | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,904$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.02 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 70c | 1,898$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 35c | 1,820$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.94 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Heat | 31c | 1,784$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 28c | 1,779$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.09 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Grizzlies | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Heat | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 70c | 1,500$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.43 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Heat | 26c | 1,497$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 75c | 1,137$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 909.08$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 70c | 825$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 31c | 820$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 28c | 691.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 19c | 684.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 74c | 674.32$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Grizzlies | 70c | 566.07$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 21c | 486.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Heat | 27c | 432$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 67c | 420.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Heat | 31c | 412.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 74c | 411.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Grizzlies | 71c | 405.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 381.19$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Heat | 31c | 365.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Heat | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Grizzlies | 72c | 340$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 27c | 325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Grizzlies | 69c | 322.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Heat | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 309.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Grizzlies | 72c | 306.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Grizzlies | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 30c | 291.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Grizzlies | 73c | 284.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Grizzlies | 72c | 278.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Grizzlies | 75c | 268.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Grizzlies | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 252$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Heat | 26c | 238.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Grizzlies | 74c | 216.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 21c | 207.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Grizzlies | 74c | 206$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Heat | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Heat | 28c | 178.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Heat | 25c | 176.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Heat | 30c | 167.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Grizzlies | 71c | 164.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…acacbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…71b9backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…6c72backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…a566backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…17d0backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…789cbacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…446cbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…2f77backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…59debacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160e…cf5fbacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…994bbacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…c107backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54d…499fbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…c103backed Grizzlies | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…b69dbacked Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…0673backed Heat | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.