TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4003100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes64c16,900$10,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,125.77633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No36c10,290$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.3427939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c5,400$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.6833055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes22c2,651$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.57862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No55c2,066$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.799742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes62c1,777$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.188742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes25c1,479$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.747759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8269…e438backed No37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes63c1,099$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.631050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked No40c980.93$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed No39c874.78$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e37…160fbacked Yes63c820$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes34c662.9$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.433863.2%24 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes48c651.28$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.532347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No40c597.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No36c532.15$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.574341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No40c494.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1712243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No35c456$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.624655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes53c451$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed No39c428.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No38c379.02$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.112157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Yes63c279.89$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes59c255.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes61c252.56$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No37c216$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9223757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a27…0e7bbacked Yes62c214.52$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes40c161.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.541520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes63c159.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7313552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No75c155.17$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.981872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No36c152.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.874235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No35c100.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1917835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No36c90.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.859561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes24c80.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes62c80.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1320655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Yes63c79.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes59c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.398239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No36c78.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No39c76.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No37c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6410852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes61c68.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0a…4fe1backed No37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6813650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No37c62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ff…c60ebacked Yes64c44.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf75f…fd61backed Yes62c44.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f7…7301backed No39c43.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8596…f3abbacked Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.684261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986e…f3cdbacked No38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd0…f87dbacked No37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc039…e2e0backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9a…62f5backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7937…531dbacked Yes62c27.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes61c25.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…cd34backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8e…b6eabacked No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd5…8cb6backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe1…4268backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…b757backed Yes62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab4e…8622backed Yes64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes62c16.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.